Alpskotak India Growth Fund Market Value

INFCX Fund  USD 17.31  0.30  1.76%   
Alpskotak India's market value is the price at which a share of Alpskotak India trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alpskotak India Growth investors about its performance. Alpskotak India is trading at 17.31 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.76 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 17.01.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alpskotak India Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alpskotak India over a given investment horizon. Check out Alpskotak India Correlation, Alpskotak India Volatility and Alpskotak India Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alpskotak India.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alpskotak India's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alpskotak India is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alpskotak India's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alpskotak India 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alpskotak India's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alpskotak India.
0.00
05/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alpskotak India on May 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alpskotak India Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alpskotak India over 570 days. Alpskotak India is related to or competes with Heartland Value, Ab Discovery, Northern Small, Columbia Small, Amg River, Ultrasmall-cap Profund, and Fidelity Small. Under normal circumstances, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investme... More

Alpskotak India Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alpskotak India's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alpskotak India Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alpskotak India Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alpskotak India's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alpskotak India's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alpskotak India historical prices to predict the future Alpskotak India's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alpskotak India's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4117.3118.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.5117.4118.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.2217.1218.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.9317.2117.49
Details

Alpskotak India Growth Backtested Returns

Alpskotak India Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.018, which signifies that the fund had a -0.018% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Alpskotak India Growth exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alpskotak India's Mean Deviation of 0.6968, standard deviation of 0.9, and insignificant Risk Adjusted Performance to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.52, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alpskotak India's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alpskotak India is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.69  

Good predictability

Alpskotak India Growth has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alpskotak India time series from 4th of May 2023 to 13th of February 2024 and 13th of February 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alpskotak India Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current Alpskotak India price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.69
Spearman Rank Test0.63
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.7

Alpskotak India Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alpskotak India mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alpskotak India's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alpskotak India returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alpskotak India has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alpskotak India regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alpskotak India mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alpskotak India mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alpskotak India mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alpskotak India Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alpskotak India's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alpskotak India mutual fund have on its future price. Alpskotak India autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alpskotak India autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alpskotak India mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alpskotak India Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Alpskotak Mutual Fund

Alpskotak India financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alpskotak Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alpskotak with respect to the benefits of owning Alpskotak India security.
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