Investec PLC (South Africa) Market Value

INP Stock   13,000  15.00  0.12%   
Investec PLC's market value is the price at which a share of Investec PLC trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Investec PLC investors about its performance. Investec PLC is trading at 13000.00 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 0.12 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 12960.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Investec PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Investec PLC over a given investment horizon. Check out Investec PLC Correlation, Investec PLC Volatility and Investec PLC Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Investec PLC.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Investec PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Investec PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Investec PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Investec PLC 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Investec PLC's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Investec PLC.
0.00
12/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Investec PLC on December 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Investec PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Investec PLC over 360 days. Investec PLC is related to or competes with Zeder Investments, Reinet Investments, Deneb Investments, HomeChoice Investments, Brimstone Investment, RCL Foods, and Trematon Capital. More

Investec PLC Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Investec PLC's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Investec PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Investec PLC Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Investec PLC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Investec PLC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Investec PLC historical prices to predict the future Investec PLC's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12,99913,00013,001
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11,13911,14014,300
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12,69312,69412,696
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13,17813,56613,954
Details

Investec PLC Backtested Returns

Investec PLC holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0369, which attests that the entity had a -0.0369% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Investec PLC exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Investec PLC's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), standard deviation of 1.33, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4509 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Investec PLC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Investec PLC is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Investec PLC has a negative expected return of -0.0495%. Please make sure to check out Investec PLC's daily balance of power, market facilitation index, and the relationship between the kurtosis and day median price , to decide if Investec PLC performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.19  

Very weak predictability

Investec PLC has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Investec PLC time series from 8th of December 2023 to 5th of June 2024 and 5th of June 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Investec PLC price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Investec PLC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.19
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance228.1 K

Investec PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Investec PLC stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Investec PLC's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Investec PLC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Investec PLC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Investec PLC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Investec PLC stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Investec PLC stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Investec PLC stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Investec PLC Lagged Returns

When evaluating Investec PLC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Investec PLC stock have on its future price. Investec PLC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Investec PLC autocorrelation shows the relationship between Investec PLC stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Investec PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Investec Stock

Investec PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Investec Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Investec with respect to the benefits of owning Investec PLC security.