Invesco Rochester New Fund Market Value
| IORUX Fund | USD 15.43 0.05 0.33% |
| Symbol | Invesco |
Invesco Rochester 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Rochester's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Rochester.
| 12/09/2022 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Invesco Rochester on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Rochester New or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Rochester over 720 days. Invesco Rochester is related to or competes with The Hartford, Ultra-short Fixed, Balanced Fund, Gmo Global, Doubleline Core, and Locorr Dynamic. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities the income from which, in the opinion of counsel to... More
Invesco Rochester Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Rochester's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Rochester New upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.5004 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.30) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.3 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.52) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4605 |
Invesco Rochester Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Rochester's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Rochester's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Rochester historical prices to predict the future Invesco Rochester's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0233 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.024 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.23) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.05) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Rochester's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco Rochester New Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Invesco Mutual Fund to be very steady. Invesco Rochester New holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0453, which attests that the entity had a 0.0453% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Invesco Rochester New, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Invesco Rochester's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0233, market risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Downside Deviation of 0.5004 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0173%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Invesco Rochester are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Invesco Rochester is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.36 |
Poor reverse predictability
Invesco Rochester New has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Rochester time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Rochester New price movement. The serial correlation of -0.36 indicates that just about 36.0% of current Invesco Rochester price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.36 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.09 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.06 |
Invesco Rochester New lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Rochester mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Rochester's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Rochester returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Rochester has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Invesco Rochester regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Rochester mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Rochester mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Rochester mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Invesco Rochester Lagged Returns
When evaluating Invesco Rochester's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Rochester mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Rochester autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Rochester autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Rochester mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Rochester New.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund
Invesco Rochester financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Rochester security.
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