Invesco Rochester New Fund Market Value

IORUX Fund  USD 15.43  0.05  0.33%   
Invesco Rochester's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco Rochester trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco Rochester New investors about its performance. Invesco Rochester is trading at 15.43 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.33% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.38.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco Rochester New and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco Rochester over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco Rochester Correlation, Invesco Rochester Volatility and Invesco Rochester Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco Rochester.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Rochester's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Rochester is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Rochester's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco Rochester 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Rochester's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Rochester.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco Rochester on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Rochester New or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Rochester over 30 days. Invesco Rochester is related to or competes with The Hartford, Ultra-short Fixed, Balanced Fund, Gmo Global, Doubleline Core, and Locorr Dynamic. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities the income from which, in the opinion of counsel to... More

Invesco Rochester Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Rochester's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Rochester New upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco Rochester Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Rochester's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Rochester's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Rochester historical prices to predict the future Invesco Rochester's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Rochester's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.0515.4315.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1614.5416.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.0115.3915.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.2015.3115.41
Details

Invesco Rochester New Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Invesco Mutual Fund to be very steady. Invesco Rochester New holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0633, which attests that the entity had a 0.0633% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Invesco Rochester New, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Invesco Rochester's Downside Deviation of 0.5004, risk adjusted performance of 0.0233, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0242%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Invesco Rochester are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Invesco Rochester is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

Invesco Rochester New has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Rochester time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Rochester New price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Invesco Rochester price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Invesco Rochester New lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Rochester mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Rochester's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Rochester returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Rochester has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco Rochester regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Rochester mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Rochester mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Rochester mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco Rochester Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco Rochester's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Rochester mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Rochester autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Rochester autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Rochester mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Rochester New.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Rochester financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Rochester security.
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