Gmo International Opportunistic Fund Market Value

IOVFX Fund   15.11  0.01  0.07%   
Gmo International's market value is the price at which a share of Gmo International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gmo International Opportunistic investors about its performance. Gmo International is trading at 15.11 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.07 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.12.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gmo International Opportunistic and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gmo International over a given investment horizon. Check out Gmo International Correlation, Gmo International Volatility and Gmo International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gmo International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gmo International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gmo International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gmo International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gmo International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gmo International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gmo International.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gmo International on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gmo International Opportunistic or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gmo International over 30 days. Gmo International is related to or competes with Gmo E, Gmo Trust, Gmo Treasury, Gmo Trust, Gmo Emerging, Gmo Emerging, and Gmo Emerging. The adviser seeks to achieve the funds investment objective by investing the funds assets primarily in international equ... More

Gmo International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gmo International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gmo International Opportunistic upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gmo International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gmo International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gmo International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gmo International historical prices to predict the future Gmo International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.3215.1115.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.4615.2516.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.0814.8715.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.1015.1115.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gmo International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gmo International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gmo International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gmo International.

Gmo International Backtested Returns

Gmo International holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0768, which attests that the entity had a -0.0768% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gmo International exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gmo International's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), market risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Standard Deviation of 0.8113 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.36, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gmo International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gmo International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.17  

Very weak predictability

Gmo International Opportunistic has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gmo International time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gmo International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Gmo International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.17
Spearman Rank Test-0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Gmo International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gmo International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gmo International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gmo International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gmo International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gmo International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gmo International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gmo International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gmo International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gmo International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gmo International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gmo International mutual fund have on its future price. Gmo International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gmo International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gmo International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gmo International Opportunistic.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gmo Mutual Fund

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