Invesco Mortgage Capital Preferred Stock Market Value

IVR-PC Preferred Stock  USD 23.80  0.10  0.42%   
Invesco Mortgage's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco Mortgage trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco Mortgage Capital investors about its performance. Invesco Mortgage is trading at 23.80 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 0.42 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's open price was 23.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco Mortgage Capital and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco Mortgage over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco Mortgage Correlation, Invesco Mortgage Volatility and Invesco Mortgage Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco Mortgage.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Mortgage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Mortgage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Mortgage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco Mortgage 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Mortgage's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Mortgage.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco Mortgage on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Mortgage Capital or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Mortgage over 30 days. Invesco Mortgage is related to or competes with MFA Financial, Two Harbors, Chimera Investment, Chimera Investment, AGNC Investment, Invesco Mortgage, and Annaly Capital. Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust that focuses on investing in, financing, and ma... More

Invesco Mortgage Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Mortgage's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Mortgage Capital upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco Mortgage Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Mortgage's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Mortgage's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Mortgage historical prices to predict the future Invesco Mortgage's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.0923.8024.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.3624.0724.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.0023.7124.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.6024.1124.62
Details

Invesco Mortgage Capital Backtested Returns

Invesco Mortgage Capital holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0524, which attests that the entity had a -0.0524% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Invesco Mortgage Capital exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Invesco Mortgage's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), standard deviation of 0.7335, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.18, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Invesco Mortgage's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco Mortgage is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Invesco Mortgage Capital has a negative expected return of -0.0371%. Please make sure to check out Invesco Mortgage's daily balance of power, and the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Invesco Mortgage Capital performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.45  

Modest reverse predictability

Invesco Mortgage Capital has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Mortgage time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Mortgage Capital price movement. The serial correlation of -0.45 indicates that just about 45.0% of current Invesco Mortgage price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.45
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Invesco Mortgage Capital lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Mortgage preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Mortgage's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Mortgage returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Mortgage has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco Mortgage regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Mortgage preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Mortgage preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Mortgage preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco Mortgage Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco Mortgage's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Mortgage preferred stock have on its future price. Invesco Mortgage autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Mortgage autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Mortgage preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Mortgage Capital.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Preferred Stock

Invesco Mortgage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Mortgage security.