Jaguar Mining Stock Market Value

JAGGF Stock  USD 2.68  0.04  1.52%   
Jaguar Mining's market value is the price at which a share of Jaguar Mining trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jaguar Mining investors about its performance. Jaguar Mining is trading at 2.68 as of the 27th of November 2024. This is a 1.52 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 2.68.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jaguar Mining and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jaguar Mining over a given investment horizon. Check out Jaguar Mining Correlation, Jaguar Mining Volatility and Jaguar Mining Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jaguar Mining.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Jaguar Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jaguar Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jaguar Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jaguar Mining 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jaguar Mining's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jaguar Mining.
0.00
09/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 2 months and 27 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jaguar Mining on September 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jaguar Mining or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jaguar Mining over 450 days. Jaguar Mining is related to or competes with Guanajuato Silver, Silver One, IMPACT Silver, Bald Eagle, and Discovery Metals. Jaguar Mining Inc., a junior gold mining company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of... More

Jaguar Mining Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jaguar Mining's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jaguar Mining upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jaguar Mining Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jaguar Mining's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jaguar Mining's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jaguar Mining historical prices to predict the future Jaguar Mining's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.636.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.315.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.756.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.592.662.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jaguar Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jaguar Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jaguar Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jaguar Mining.

Jaguar Mining Backtested Returns

Jaguar Mining holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0909, which attests that the entity had a -0.0909% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Jaguar Mining exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Jaguar Mining's Standard Deviation of 3.55, risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.80) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.49, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Jaguar Mining's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Jaguar Mining is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Jaguar Mining has a negative expected return of -0.32%. Please make sure to check out Jaguar Mining's total risk alpha, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Jaguar Mining performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Jaguar Mining has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jaguar Mining time series from 4th of September 2023 to 16th of April 2024 and 16th of April 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jaguar Mining price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Jaguar Mining price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.63
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.6

Jaguar Mining lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jaguar Mining otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jaguar Mining's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jaguar Mining returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jaguar Mining has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jaguar Mining regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jaguar Mining otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jaguar Mining otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jaguar Mining otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jaguar Mining Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jaguar Mining's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jaguar Mining otc stock have on its future price. Jaguar Mining autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jaguar Mining autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jaguar Mining otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jaguar Mining.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Jaguar OTC Stock

Jaguar Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jaguar OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jaguar with respect to the benefits of owning Jaguar Mining security.