Japan Tobacco Stock Market Value

JAPAF Stock  USD 38.35  0.16  0.42%   
Japan Tobacco's market value is the price at which a share of Japan Tobacco trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Japan Tobacco investors about its performance. Japan Tobacco is trading at 38.35 as of the 7th of February 2026. This is a 0.42 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 38.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Japan Tobacco and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Japan Tobacco over a given investment horizon. Check out Japan Tobacco Correlation, Japan Tobacco Volatility and Japan Tobacco Performance module to complement your research on Japan Tobacco.
Symbol

Understanding that Japan Tobacco's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Japan Tobacco represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Japan Tobacco's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.

Japan Tobacco 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Japan Tobacco's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Japan Tobacco.
0.00
11/09/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/07/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Japan Tobacco on November 9, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Japan Tobacco or generate 0.0% return on investment in Japan Tobacco over 90 days. Japan Tobacco is related to or competes with Danone PK, Wal Mart, Wal Mart, Danone SA, Imperial Brands, Imperial Brands, and Reckitt Benckiser. Japan Tobacco Inc., a tobacco company, manufactures and sells tobacco products, prescription drugs, and processed foods ... More

Japan Tobacco Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Japan Tobacco's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Japan Tobacco upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Japan Tobacco Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Japan Tobacco's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Japan Tobacco's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Japan Tobacco historical prices to predict the future Japan Tobacco's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.4838.3542.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.6831.5542.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.3139.1843.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.3037.2640.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Japan Tobacco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Japan Tobacco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Japan Tobacco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Japan Tobacco.

Japan Tobacco February 7, 2026 Technical Indicators

Japan Tobacco Backtested Returns

Japan Tobacco appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Japan Tobacco holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0606, which attests that the entity had a 0.0606 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Japan Tobacco, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Japan Tobacco's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0606, market risk adjusted performance of 0.2249, and Downside Deviation of 9.22 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Japan Tobacco holds a performance score of 4. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.09, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Japan Tobacco returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Japan Tobacco is expected to follow. Please check Japan Tobacco's semi variance, day median price, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Japan Tobacco's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.47  

Modest reverse predictability

Japan Tobacco has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Japan Tobacco time series from 9th of November 2025 to 24th of December 2025 and 24th of December 2025 to 7th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Japan Tobacco price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Japan Tobacco price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.47
Spearman Rank Test-0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.14

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Other Information on Investing in Japan Pink Sheet

Japan Tobacco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Japan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Japan with respect to the benefits of owning Japan Tobacco security.