Japan Tobacco Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

JAPAF Stock  USD 25.76  1.24  4.59%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Japan Tobacco is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Japan Tobacco buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding JAPAF positions.
  
Check out Japan Tobacco Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Japan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Japan Tobacco. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Japan Tobacco Buy or Sell Advice

The Japan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Japan Tobacco. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Japan Tobacco or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Japan Tobacco's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Japan TobaccoBuy Japan Tobacco
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Japan Tobacco has a Mean Deviation of 1.3, Semi Deviation of 1.99, Standard Deviation of 2.9, Variance of 8.43, Downside Variance of 29.37 and Semi Variance of 3.95
Our trade recommendations module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Japan Tobacco. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Japan Tobacco is not overpriced, please check out all Japan Tobacco fundamentals, including its price to book, cash and equivalents, cash flow from operations, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and debt to equity . Given that Japan Tobacco has a price to earning of 11.41 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Japan Tobacco market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Japan Tobacco Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Japan Tobacco generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Japan Tobacco Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Japan Tobacco's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Japan Tobacco's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Japan Tobacco daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Japan Tobacco price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Japan Tobacco returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Japan Tobacco.
Mean Return
0.10
Value At Risk
-4.2
Potential Upside
5.88
Standard Deviation
2.90
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Japan Tobacco historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Japan Tobacco Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Japan Tobacco or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Japan Tobacco's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Japan pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
2.71
Ir
Information ratio 0

Japan Tobacco Volatility Alert

Japan Tobacco shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Japan Tobacco's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Japan Tobacco's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Japan Tobacco Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Japan Tobacco's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Japan Tobacco's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Japan Tobacco and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Japan Tobacco or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Japan Tobacco's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Japan Tobacco by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Japan Tobacco to competition
FundamentalsJapan TobaccoPeer Average
Return On Equity0.12-0.31
Return On Asset0.0589-0.14
Profit Margin0.16 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.23 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation37.17 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.77 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders34.36 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions17.60 %39.21 %
Price To Earning11.41 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.36 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.01 X11.42 X
Revenue2.32 T9.43 B
Gross Profit1.37 T27.38 B
EBITDA705.09 B3.9 B
Net Income338.49 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents786.28 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share443.01 X5.01 X
Total Debt775.72 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.27 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.78 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2,135 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations598.91 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.73 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth12.23 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees55.38 K18.84 K
Beta0.44-0.15
Market Capitalization35.7 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.77 T29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.28 T9.33 B
Working Capital149.74 B1.48 B
Current Asset1.31 T9.34 B
Current Liabilities1.16 T7.9 B
Annual Yield0.07 %

Japan Tobacco Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Japan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Japan Tobacco Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Japan Tobacco? Buying financial instruments such as Japan Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Japan Pink Sheet

Japan Tobacco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Japan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Japan with respect to the benefits of owning Japan Tobacco security.