Jpmorgan California Tax Fund Market Value

JPICX Fund  USD 10.07  0.01  0.1%   
Jpmorgan California's market value is the price at which a share of Jpmorgan California trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jpmorgan California Tax investors about its performance. Jpmorgan California is trading at 10.07 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.1 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jpmorgan California Tax and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jpmorgan California over a given investment horizon. Check out Jpmorgan California Correlation, Jpmorgan California Volatility and Jpmorgan California Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jpmorgan California.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Jpmorgan California's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jpmorgan California is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jpmorgan California's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jpmorgan California 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jpmorgan California's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jpmorgan California.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jpmorgan California on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jpmorgan California Tax or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jpmorgan California over 720 days. Jpmorgan California is related to or competes with Upright Assets, T Rowe, Qs Us, Old Westbury, Aqr Large, Fundamental Large, and Pace Large. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of the value of its assets in municipal securities, the income from which ... More

Jpmorgan California Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jpmorgan California's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jpmorgan California Tax upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jpmorgan California Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jpmorgan California's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jpmorgan California's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jpmorgan California historical prices to predict the future Jpmorgan California's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan California's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8810.0710.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.629.8111.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8810.0710.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0010.0410.08
Details

Jpmorgan California Tax Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to be very steady. Jpmorgan California Tax holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0263, which attests that the entity had a 0.0263% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Jpmorgan California Tax, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Jpmorgan California's Downside Deviation of 0.3093, risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1286 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0049%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0575, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Jpmorgan California are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Jpmorgan California is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.46  

Modest reverse predictability

Jpmorgan California Tax has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jpmorgan California time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jpmorgan California Tax price movement. The serial correlation of -0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Jpmorgan California price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.46
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Jpmorgan California Tax lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jpmorgan California mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jpmorgan California's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jpmorgan California returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jpmorgan California has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jpmorgan California regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jpmorgan California mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jpmorgan California mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jpmorgan California mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jpmorgan California Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jpmorgan California's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jpmorgan California mutual fund have on its future price. Jpmorgan California autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jpmorgan California autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jpmorgan California mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jpmorgan California Tax.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Jpmorgan Mutual Fund

Jpmorgan California financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jpmorgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jpmorgan with respect to the benefits of owning Jpmorgan California security.
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