Japan Post Bank Stock Market Value
| JPPTY Stock | USD 13.64 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | JAPAN |
JAPAN POST 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to JAPAN POST's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of JAPAN POST.
| 12/08/2025 |
| 01/07/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in JAPAN POST on December 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding JAPAN POST BANK or generate 0.0% return on investment in JAPAN POST over 30 days. JAPAN POST is related to or competes with PT Bank, Swedbank, Skandinaviska Enskilda, Bank Rakyat, Japan Post, Swedbank, and Danske Bank. JAPAN POST BANK Co., Ltd. provides various banking products and services to retail and corporate clients in Japan and in... More
JAPAN POST Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure JAPAN POST's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess JAPAN POST BANK upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 10.57 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0172 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 62.34 | |||
| Value At Risk | (10.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 11.11 |
JAPAN POST Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for JAPAN POST's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as JAPAN POST's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use JAPAN POST historical prices to predict the future JAPAN POST's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0306 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1771 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.70) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0128 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4333 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JAPAN POST's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JAPAN POST BANK Backtested Returns
JAPAN POST appears to be moderately volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. JAPAN POST BANK holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0692, which attests that the company had a 0.0692 % return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. By examining JAPAN POST's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.54% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize JAPAN POST's semi deviation of 3.83, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4433 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, JAPAN POST holds a performance score of 5. The firm retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.51, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, JAPAN POST's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding JAPAN POST is expected to be smaller as well. Please check JAPAN POST's sortino ratio, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether JAPAN POST's current trending patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -92,233,720,368,547,760 |
Near perfect reversele predictability
JAPAN POST BANK has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between JAPAN POST time series from 8th of December 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 7th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of JAPAN POST BANK price movement. The serial correlation of -9.223372036854776E16 indicates that 9.223372036854776E16% of current JAPAN POST price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -92233.7 T | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
JAPAN POST BANK lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is JAPAN POST pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting JAPAN POST's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of JAPAN POST returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that JAPAN POST has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
JAPAN POST regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If JAPAN POST pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if JAPAN POST pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in JAPAN POST pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
JAPAN POST Lagged Returns
When evaluating JAPAN POST's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of JAPAN POST pink sheet have on its future price. JAPAN POST autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, JAPAN POST autocorrelation shows the relationship between JAPAN POST pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in JAPAN POST BANK.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Tools for JAPAN Pink Sheet Analysis
When running JAPAN POST's price analysis, check to measure JAPAN POST's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JAPAN POST is operating at the current time. Most of JAPAN POST's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JAPAN POST's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JAPAN POST's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JAPAN POST to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.