Kabelindo Murni (Indonesia) Market Value

KBLM Stock  IDR 308.00  2.00  0.65%   
Kabelindo Murni's market value is the price at which a share of Kabelindo Murni trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kabelindo Murni Tbk investors about its performance. Kabelindo Murni is selling for 308.00 as of the 22nd of November 2024. This is a 0.65 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 300.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kabelindo Murni Tbk and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kabelindo Murni over a given investment horizon. Check out Kabelindo Murni Correlation, Kabelindo Murni Volatility and Kabelindo Murni Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kabelindo Murni.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kabelindo Murni's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kabelindo Murni is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kabelindo Murni's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kabelindo Murni 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kabelindo Murni's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kabelindo Murni.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kabelindo Murni on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kabelindo Murni Tbk or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kabelindo Murni over 30 days. Kabelindo Murni is related to or competes with Kmi Wire, Jembo Cable, Sumi Indo, Voksel Electric, and Kedawung Setia. More

Kabelindo Murni Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kabelindo Murni's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kabelindo Murni Tbk upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kabelindo Murni Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kabelindo Murni's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kabelindo Murni's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kabelindo Murni historical prices to predict the future Kabelindo Murni's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
308.54310.00311.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
261.04262.50341.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
306.29307.74309.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
301.40310.42319.43
Details

Kabelindo Murni Tbk Backtested Returns

Kabelindo Murni Tbk has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0476, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0476% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Kabelindo Murni exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Kabelindo Murni's Mean Deviation of 1.16, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Standard Deviation of 1.55 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.3, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Kabelindo Murni's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kabelindo Murni is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Kabelindo Murni Tbk has a negative expected return of -0.0694%. Please make sure to verify Kabelindo Murni's mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Kabelindo Murni Tbk performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

Kabelindo Murni Tbk has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kabelindo Murni time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kabelindo Murni Tbk price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Kabelindo Murni price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance9.67

Kabelindo Murni Tbk lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kabelindo Murni stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kabelindo Murni's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kabelindo Murni returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kabelindo Murni has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kabelindo Murni regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kabelindo Murni stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kabelindo Murni stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kabelindo Murni stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kabelindo Murni Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kabelindo Murni's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kabelindo Murni stock have on its future price. Kabelindo Murni autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kabelindo Murni autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kabelindo Murni stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kabelindo Murni Tbk.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Kabelindo Stock

Kabelindo Murni financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kabelindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kabelindo with respect to the benefits of owning Kabelindo Murni security.