KEISEI EL (Germany) Market Value
| KEI Stock | EUR 25.20 0.40 1.61% |
| Symbol | KEISEI |
KEISEI EL 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to KEISEI EL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of KEISEI EL.
| 01/03/2023 |
| 12/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in KEISEI EL on January 3, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding KEISEI EL RAILWAY or generate 0.0% return on investment in KEISEI EL over 720 days. KEISEI EL is related to or competes with Apple, Apple, Apple, Microsoft, Microsoft, Microsoft, and Microsoft. More
KEISEI EL Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure KEISEI EL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess KEISEI EL RAILWAY upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.78 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.88) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.52 |
KEISEI EL Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for KEISEI EL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as KEISEI EL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use KEISEI EL historical prices to predict the future KEISEI EL's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.19) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.15) |
KEISEI EL RAILWAY Backtested Returns
KEISEI EL RAILWAY has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0276, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0276% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. KEISEI EL exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify KEISEI EL's mean deviation of 1.77, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.76, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, KEISEI EL's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding KEISEI EL is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, KEISEI EL RAILWAY has a negative expected return of -0.073%. Please make sure to verify KEISEI EL's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if KEISEI EL RAILWAY performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Auto-correlation | -0.74 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
KEISEI EL RAILWAY has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between KEISEI EL time series from 3rd of January 2023 to 29th of December 2023 and 29th of December 2023 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of KEISEI EL RAILWAY price movement. The serial correlation of -0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current KEISEI EL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.74 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.72 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 16.91 |
KEISEI EL RAILWAY lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is KEISEI EL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting KEISEI EL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of KEISEI EL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that KEISEI EL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
KEISEI EL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If KEISEI EL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if KEISEI EL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in KEISEI EL stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
KEISEI EL Lagged Returns
When evaluating KEISEI EL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of KEISEI EL stock have on its future price. KEISEI EL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, KEISEI EL autocorrelation shows the relationship between KEISEI EL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in KEISEI EL RAILWAY.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in KEISEI Stock
KEISEI EL financial ratios help investors to determine whether KEISEI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KEISEI with respect to the benefits of owning KEISEI EL security.