Kinea Fundo (Brazil) Market Value

KFOF11 Fund  BRL 76.72  0.18  0.24%   
Kinea Fundo's market value is the price at which a share of Kinea Fundo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kinea Fundo Fundos investors about its performance. Kinea Fundo is trading at 76.72 as of the 24th of November 2024, a 0.24 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 76.54.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kinea Fundo Fundos and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kinea Fundo over a given investment horizon. Check out Kinea Fundo Correlation, Kinea Fundo Volatility and Kinea Fundo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kinea Fundo.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kinea Fundo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kinea Fundo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kinea Fundo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kinea Fundo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kinea Fundo's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kinea Fundo.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kinea Fundo on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kinea Fundo Fundos or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kinea Fundo over 30 days. Kinea Fundo is related to or competes with Kinea Indices, Kinea Renda, and Kinea Rendimentos. More

Kinea Fundo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kinea Fundo's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kinea Fundo Fundos upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kinea Fundo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kinea Fundo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kinea Fundo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kinea Fundo historical prices to predict the future Kinea Fundo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.8576.7277.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.8671.7384.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.9275.8076.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.4976.6676.83
Details

Kinea Fundo Fundos Backtested Returns

Kinea Fundo Fundos has Sharpe Ratio of -0.23, which conveys that the entity had a -0.23% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Kinea Fundo exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Kinea Fundo's Mean Deviation of 0.645, risk adjusted performance of (0.19), and Standard Deviation of 0.8729 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.23, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Kinea Fundo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kinea Fundo is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

Kinea Fundo Fundos has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kinea Fundo time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kinea Fundo Fundos price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Kinea Fundo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.34

Kinea Fundo Fundos lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kinea Fundo fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kinea Fundo's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kinea Fundo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kinea Fundo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kinea Fundo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kinea Fundo fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kinea Fundo fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kinea Fundo fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kinea Fundo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kinea Fundo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kinea Fundo fund have on its future price. Kinea Fundo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kinea Fundo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kinea Fundo fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kinea Fundo Fundos.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Kinea Fund

Kinea Fundo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kinea Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kinea with respect to the benefits of owning Kinea Fundo security.
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