Kier Group's market value is the price at which a share of Kier Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kier Group plc investors about its performance. Kier Group is trading at 2.75 as of the 29th of December 2025. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 2.75. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kier Group plc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kier Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Kier Group Correlation, Kier Group Volatility and Kier Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kier Group.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kier Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kier Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kier Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Kier Group 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kier Group's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kier Group.
0.00
01/03/2025
No Change 0.00
0.0
In 11 months and 27 days
12/29/2025
0.00
If you would invest 0.00 in Kier Group on January 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kier Group plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kier Group over 360 days. Kier Group is related to or competes with Bird Construction, PT Jasa, Jasa Marga, Renew Holdings, Krones AG, CTT Correios, and COSCO SHIPPING. Kier Group plc primarily engages in the construction business in the United Kingdom and internationally More
Kier Group Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kier Group's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kier Group plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kier Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kier Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kier Group historical prices to predict the future Kier Group's volatility.
At this point, Kier Group is not too volatile. Kier Group plc has Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which conveys that the firm had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found seventeen technical indicators for Kier Group, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Kier Group's Standard Deviation of 0.3215, mean deviation of 0.078, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0745 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0408%. Kier Group has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0197, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Kier Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Kier Group is likely to outperform the market. Kier Group plc right now secures a risk of 0.33%. Please verify Kier Group plc information ratio, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and relative strength index , to decide if Kier Group plc will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation
0.62
Good predictability
Kier Group plc has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kier Group time series from 3rd of January 2025 to 2nd of July 2025 and 2nd of July 2025 to 29th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kier Group plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current Kier Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient
0.62
Spearman Rank Test
0.99
Residual Average
0.0
Price Variance
0.02
Kier Group plc lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Kier Group pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kier Group's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kier Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kier Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Timeline
Kier Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kier Group pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kier Group pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kier Group pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Timeline
Kier Group Lagged Returns
When evaluating Kier Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kier Group pink sheet have on its future price. Kier Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kier Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kier Group pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kier Group plc.
Kier Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kier Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kier with respect to the benefits of owning Kier Group security.