Kinetics Market Opportunities Fund Market Value

KMKNX Fund  USD 90.17  3.21  3.44%   
Kinetics Market's market value is the price at which a share of Kinetics Market trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kinetics Market Opportunities investors about its performance. Kinetics Market is trading at 90.17 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 3.44 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 93.38.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kinetics Market Opportunities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kinetics Market over a given investment horizon. Check out Kinetics Market Correlation, Kinetics Market Volatility and Kinetics Market Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kinetics Market.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kinetics Market's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kinetics Market is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kinetics Market's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kinetics Market 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kinetics Market's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kinetics Market.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kinetics Market on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kinetics Market Opportunities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kinetics Market over 30 days. Kinetics Market is related to or competes with Kinetics Market, Kinetics Small, Kinetics Paradigm, Alger Capital, and Pear Tree. The fund is a non-diversified fund that invests all of its investable assets in the Market Opportunities Portfolio, a se... More

Kinetics Market Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kinetics Market's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kinetics Market Opportunities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kinetics Market Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kinetics Market's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kinetics Market's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kinetics Market historical prices to predict the future Kinetics Market's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.6090.1791.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.1593.2794.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.2089.7791.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
65.6279.7293.81
Details

Kinetics Market Oppo Backtested Returns

Kinetics Market appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Kinetics Market Oppo has Sharpe Ratio of 0.38, which conveys that the entity had a 0.38% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Kinetics Market's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.64% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Kinetics Market's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3356, downside deviation of 1.29, and Mean Deviation of 1.14 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.17, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Kinetics Market's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kinetics Market is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

Kinetics Market Opportunities has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kinetics Market time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kinetics Market Oppo price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Kinetics Market price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.85
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance8.18

Kinetics Market Oppo lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kinetics Market mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kinetics Market's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kinetics Market returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kinetics Market has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kinetics Market regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kinetics Market mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kinetics Market mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kinetics Market mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kinetics Market Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kinetics Market's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kinetics Market mutual fund have on its future price. Kinetics Market autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kinetics Market autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kinetics Market mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kinetics Market Opportunities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Kinetics Mutual Fund

Kinetics Market financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kinetics Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kinetics with respect to the benefits of owning Kinetics Market security.
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