Kentucky Tax Free Short To Medium Fund Market Value

KYSMX Fund  USD 5.15  0.01  0.19%   
Kentucky Tax's market value is the price at which a share of Kentucky Tax trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kentucky Tax Free Short To Medium investors about its performance. Kentucky Tax is trading at 5.15 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.19 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 5.14.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kentucky Tax Free Short To Medium and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kentucky Tax over a given investment horizon. Check out Kentucky Tax Correlation, Kentucky Tax Volatility and Kentucky Tax Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kentucky Tax.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kentucky Tax's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kentucky Tax is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kentucky Tax's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kentucky Tax 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kentucky Tax's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kentucky Tax.
0.00
06/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 25 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kentucky Tax on June 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kentucky Tax Free Short To Medium or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kentucky Tax over 540 days. Kentucky Tax is related to or competes with Opnhmr Rchstr, Aim Taxexempt, Oppenheimer Rochester, New York, and California Municipal. The fund seeks to provide a steady flow of tax-exempt income derived from Kentucky municipal securities of investment gr... More

Kentucky Tax Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kentucky Tax's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kentucky Tax Free Short To Medium upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kentucky Tax Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kentucky Tax's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kentucky Tax's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kentucky Tax historical prices to predict the future Kentucky Tax's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.045.155.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.945.055.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.035.145.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.135.145.15
Details

Kentucky Tax Free Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Kentucky Mutual Fund to be very steady. Kentucky Tax Free has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0278, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0278% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Kentucky Tax, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Kentucky Tax's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), mean deviation of 0.0572, and Downside Deviation of 0.3012 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0031%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0487, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Kentucky Tax are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Kentucky Tax is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.81  

Very good predictability

Kentucky Tax Free Short To Medium has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kentucky Tax time series from 8th of June 2023 to 4th of March 2024 and 4th of March 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kentucky Tax Free price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Kentucky Tax price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Kentucky Tax Free lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kentucky Tax mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kentucky Tax's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kentucky Tax returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kentucky Tax has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kentucky Tax regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kentucky Tax mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kentucky Tax mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kentucky Tax mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kentucky Tax Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kentucky Tax's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kentucky Tax mutual fund have on its future price. Kentucky Tax autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kentucky Tax autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kentucky Tax mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kentucky Tax Free Short To Medium.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Kentucky Mutual Fund

Kentucky Tax financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kentucky Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kentucky with respect to the benefits of owning Kentucky Tax security.
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