Karoon Energy (Germany) Market Value

LBL Stock  EUR 0.81  0.01  1.25%   
Karoon Energy's market value is the price at which a share of Karoon Energy trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Karoon Energy investors about its performance. Karoon Energy is trading at 0.81 as of the 2nd of December 2024. This is a 1.25 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.81.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Karoon Energy and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Karoon Energy over a given investment horizon. Check out Karoon Energy Correlation, Karoon Energy Volatility and Karoon Energy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Karoon Energy.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Karoon Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Karoon Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Karoon Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Karoon Energy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Karoon Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Karoon Energy.
0.00
11/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Karoon Energy on November 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Karoon Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Karoon Energy over 30 days. Karoon Energy is related to or competes with Ebro Foods, Nomad Foods, Caseys General, Ross Stores, CAL MAINE, and Burlington Stores. Karoon Energy Ltd operates as an oil and gas exploration company in Australia, Brazil, and Peru More

Karoon Energy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Karoon Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Karoon Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Karoon Energy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Karoon Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Karoon Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Karoon Energy historical prices to predict the future Karoon Energy's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.813.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.723.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.753.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.830.850.87
Details

Karoon Energy Backtested Returns

Karoon Energy has Sharpe Ratio of -0.1, which conveys that the firm had a -0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Karoon Energy exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Karoon Energy's Mean Deviation of 2.28, standard deviation of 3.06, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.65, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Karoon Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Karoon Energy is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Karoon Energy has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to verify Karoon Energy's total risk alpha, potential upside, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and skewness , to decide if Karoon Energy performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.15  

Insignificant predictability

Karoon Energy has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Karoon Energy time series from 2nd of November 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Karoon Energy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.15 indicates that less than 15.0% of current Karoon Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.15
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Karoon Energy lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Karoon Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Karoon Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Karoon Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Karoon Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Karoon Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Karoon Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Karoon Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Karoon Energy stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Karoon Energy Lagged Returns

When evaluating Karoon Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Karoon Energy stock have on its future price. Karoon Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Karoon Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Karoon Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Karoon Energy.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Karoon Stock

Karoon Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Karoon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Karoon with respect to the benefits of owning Karoon Energy security.