Lohilo Foods (Sweden) Market Value

LOHILO Stock  SEK 1.44  0.14  8.86%   
Lohilo Foods' market value is the price at which a share of Lohilo Foods trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lohilo Foods AB investors about its performance. Lohilo Foods is trading at 1.44 as of the 27th of November 2024, a 8.86 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1.58.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lohilo Foods AB and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lohilo Foods over a given investment horizon. Check out Lohilo Foods Correlation, Lohilo Foods Volatility and Lohilo Foods Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Lohilo Foods.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Lohilo Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lohilo Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lohilo Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lohilo Foods 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lohilo Foods' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lohilo Foods.
0.00
08/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lohilo Foods on August 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lohilo Foods AB or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lohilo Foods over 90 days. Lohilo Foods is related to or competes with Smart Eye, Kamux Suomi, Zignsec AB, Harvia Oyj, and Kambi Group. Lohilo Foods Ab operates as a food company in Sweden More

Lohilo Foods Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lohilo Foods' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lohilo Foods AB upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lohilo Foods Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lohilo Foods' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lohilo Foods' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lohilo Foods historical prices to predict the future Lohilo Foods' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.444.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.344.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.314.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.511.782.05
Details

Lohilo Foods AB Backtested Returns

Lohilo Foods AB has Sharpe Ratio of -0.14, which conveys that the firm had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lohilo Foods exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lohilo Foods' Mean Deviation of 2.82, standard deviation of 4.11, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0665, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Lohilo Foods' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lohilo Foods is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Lohilo Foods AB has a negative expected return of -0.5%. Please make sure to verify Lohilo Foods' kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Lohilo Foods AB performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.20  

Weak predictability

Lohilo Foods AB has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lohilo Foods time series from 29th of August 2024 to 13th of October 2024 and 13th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lohilo Foods AB price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Lohilo Foods price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.2
Spearman Rank Test-0.07
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Lohilo Foods AB lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lohilo Foods stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lohilo Foods' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lohilo Foods returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lohilo Foods has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lohilo Foods regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lohilo Foods stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lohilo Foods stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lohilo Foods stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lohilo Foods Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lohilo Foods' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lohilo Foods stock have on its future price. Lohilo Foods autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lohilo Foods autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lohilo Foods stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lohilo Foods AB.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in Lohilo Stock

Lohilo Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lohilo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lohilo with respect to the benefits of owning Lohilo Foods security.