Lumia Market Value

LUMIA Crypto   1.20  0.08  6.25%   
Lumia's market value is the price at which a share of Lumia trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lumia investors about its performance. Lumia is trading at 1.20 as of the 9th of January 2025, a 6.25% down since the beginning of the trading day. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lumia and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lumia over a given investment horizon. Check out Lumia Correlation, Lumia Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Lumia.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Lumia's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Lumia value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Lumia's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.

Lumia 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lumia's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lumia.
0.00
12/10/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/09/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lumia on December 10, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lumia or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lumia over 30 days. Lumia is related to or competes with Staked Ether, Phala Network, EigenLayer, and Tokocrypto. Lumia is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.

Lumia Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lumia's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lumia upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lumia Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lumia's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lumia's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lumia historical prices to predict the future Lumia's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.20121.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.93120.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lumia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lumia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lumia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lumia.

Lumia Backtested Returns

Lumia is abnormally risky given 3 months investment horizon. Lumia has Sharpe Ratio of 0.12, which conveys that digital coin had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 15.1% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Lumia Mean Deviation of 2.22, standard deviation of 3.78, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15) to evaluate coin specific risk that cannot be diversified away. The crypto secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.99, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Lumia returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Lumia is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.20  

Weak predictability

Lumia has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lumia time series from 10th of December 2024 to 25th of December 2024 and 25th of December 2024 to 9th of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lumia price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Lumia price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.2
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Lumia lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lumia crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lumia's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lumia returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lumia has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the crypto coin is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Lumia regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lumia crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lumia crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lumia crypto coin over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Lumia Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lumia's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lumia crypto coin have on its future price. Lumia autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lumia autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lumia crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lumia.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether Lumia offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lumia's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lumia Crypto.
Check out Lumia Correlation, Lumia Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Lumia.
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Lumia technical crypto coin analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, crypto market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Lumia technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Lumia trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...