Macys Inc Stock Market Value

M Stock  USD 15.94  0.36  2.21%   
Macys' market value is the price at which a share of Macys trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Macys Inc investors about its performance. Macys is selling at 15.94 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 2.21 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 15.47.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Macys Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Macys over a given investment horizon. Check out Macys Correlation, Macys Volatility and Macys Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Macys.
Symbol

Macys Inc Price To Book Ratio

Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Macys. If investors know Macys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Macys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.61)
Dividend Share
0.678
Earnings Share
0.65
Revenue Per Share
85.208
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Macys Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Macys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Macys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Macys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Macys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Macys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Macys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Macys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Macys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Macys 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Macys' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Macys.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Macys on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Macys Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Macys over 30 days. Macys is related to or competes with Nordstrom, Dillards, Marks Spencer, Marks, Kohls Corp, and Dillards Capital. Macys, Inc., an omni-channel retail organization, operates stores, Websites, and mobile applications More

Macys Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Macys' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Macys Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Macys Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Macys' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Macys' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Macys historical prices to predict the future Macys' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.7915.9218.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0415.1717.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.5815.7117.84
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.4014.7316.35
Details

Macys Inc Backtested Returns

As of now, Macys Stock is not too volatile. Macys Inc has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0454, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0454% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Macys, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Macys' Downside Deviation of 1.73, mean deviation of 1.62, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0587 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0982%. Macys has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.43, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Macys will likely underperform. Macys Inc right now secures a risk of 2.16%. Please verify Macys Inc value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to decide if Macys Inc will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.37  

Poor reverse predictability

Macys Inc has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Macys time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Macys Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Macys price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.37
Spearman Rank Test0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.2

Macys Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Macys stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Macys' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Macys returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Macys has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Macys regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Macys stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Macys stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Macys stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Macys Lagged Returns

When evaluating Macys' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Macys stock have on its future price. Macys autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Macys autocorrelation shows the relationship between Macys stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Macys Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Macys technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Macys technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Macys trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...