Mfs Growth Allocation Fund Market Value

MAGMX Fund  USD 24.66  0.12  0.48%   
Mfs Growth's market value is the price at which a share of Mfs Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mfs Growth Allocation investors about its performance. Mfs Growth is trading at 24.66 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.48% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 24.78.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mfs Growth Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mfs Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out Mfs Growth Correlation, Mfs Growth Volatility and Mfs Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mfs Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mfs Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mfs Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mfs Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mfs Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mfs Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mfs Growth.
0.00
08/02/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mfs Growth on August 2, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mfs Growth Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mfs Growth over 480 days. Mfs Growth is related to or competes with Mfs Prudent, Mfs Prudent, Mfs Prudent, Mfs Prudent, Mfs Prudent, Mfs Prudent, and Mfs Lifetime. The fund is designed to provide diversification among different asset classes by investing its assets in other mutual fu... More

Mfs Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mfs Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mfs Growth Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mfs Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mfs Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mfs Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mfs Growth historical prices to predict the future Mfs Growth's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1524.6625.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.5724.0827.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.9624.4724.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.5924.7024.81
Details

Mfs Growth Allocation Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Mfs Mutual Fund to be very steady. Mfs Growth Allocation has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0546, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0546% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Mfs Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Mfs Growth's Downside Deviation of 0.5569, mean deviation of 0.3955, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0469 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0277%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0119, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Mfs Growth are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Mfs Growth is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.78  

Good predictability

Mfs Growth Allocation has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mfs Growth time series from 2nd of August 2023 to 29th of March 2024 and 29th of March 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mfs Growth Allocation price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Mfs Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.46

Mfs Growth Allocation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mfs Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mfs Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mfs Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mfs Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mfs Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mfs Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mfs Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mfs Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mfs Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mfs Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mfs Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Mfs Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mfs Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mfs Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mfs Growth Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Growth security.
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