Mfs Growth Allocation Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 24.66

MAGMX Fund  USD 24.66  0.12  0.48%   
Mfs Growth's future price is the expected price of Mfs Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mfs Growth Allocation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mfs Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mfs Growth Correlation, Mfs Growth Hype Analysis, Mfs Growth Volatility, Mfs Growth History as well as Mfs Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Mfs Growth's target price for which you would like Mfs Growth odds to be computed.

Mfs Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 24.66

The tendency of Mfs Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.66 90 days 24.66 
about 19.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mfs Growth to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.71 (This Mfs Growth Allocation probability density function shows the probability of Mfs Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mfs Growth Allocation has a beta of -0.0119. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mfs Growth are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mfs Growth Allocation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mfs Growth Allocation has an alpha of 0.0263, implying that it can generate a 0.0263 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mfs Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mfs Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mfs Growth Allocation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1524.6625.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.5724.0827.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.9624.4724.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.5924.7024.81
Details

Mfs Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mfs Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mfs Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mfs Growth Allocation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mfs Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Mfs Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mfs Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mfs Growth Allocation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 7.06% of its assets in bonds

Mfs Growth Technical Analysis

Mfs Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mfs Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mfs Growth Allocation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mfs Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mfs Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Mfs Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mfs Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mfs Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mfs Growth Allocation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mfs Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mfs Growth Allocation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 7.06% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Growth security.
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