Malu Paper (India) Market Value

MALUPAPER   43.31  0.32  0.73%   
Malu Paper's market value is the price at which a share of Malu Paper trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Malu Paper Mills investors about its performance. Malu Paper is selling at 43.31 as of the 23rd of January 2025; that is 0.73 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 42.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Malu Paper Mills and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Malu Paper over a given investment horizon. Check out Malu Paper Correlation, Malu Paper Volatility and Malu Paper Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Malu Paper.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Malu Paper's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Malu Paper is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Malu Paper's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Malu Paper 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Malu Paper's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Malu Paper.
0.00
12/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
01/23/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Malu Paper on December 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Malu Paper Mills or generate 0.0% return on investment in Malu Paper over 30 days. Malu Paper is related to or competes with Tata Steel, Tips Music, SAL Steel, Vibhor Steel, Indian Metals, UFO Moviez, and Vardhman Special. Malu Paper is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Malu Paper Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Malu Paper's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Malu Paper Mills upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Malu Paper Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Malu Paper's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Malu Paper's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Malu Paper historical prices to predict the future Malu Paper's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.0343.2346.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.6744.8748.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42.0045.2048.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.5645.9950.42
Details

Malu Paper Mills Backtested Returns

Malu Paper Mills has Sharpe Ratio of close to zero, which conveys that the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Malu Paper exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Malu Paper's Standard Deviation of 3.19, mean deviation of 1.82, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.79, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Malu Paper's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Malu Paper is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Malu Paper Mills has a negative expected return of -0.0239%. Please make sure to verify Malu Paper's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Malu Paper Mills performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.18  

Very weak predictability

Malu Paper Mills has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Malu Paper time series from 24th of December 2024 to 8th of January 2025 and 8th of January 2025 to 23rd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Malu Paper Mills price movement. The serial correlation of 0.18 indicates that over 18.0% of current Malu Paper price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.18
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.28

Malu Paper Mills lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Malu Paper stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Malu Paper's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Malu Paper returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Malu Paper has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Malu Paper regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Malu Paper stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Malu Paper stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Malu Paper stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Malu Paper Lagged Returns

When evaluating Malu Paper's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Malu Paper stock have on its future price. Malu Paper autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Malu Paper autocorrelation shows the relationship between Malu Paper stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Malu Paper Mills.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Malu Stock Analysis

When running Malu Paper's price analysis, check to measure Malu Paper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Malu Paper is operating at the current time. Most of Malu Paper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Malu Paper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Malu Paper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Malu Paper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.