LVMH Mot (France) Market Value

MC Stock  EUR 592.50  9.50  1.63%   
LVMH Mot's market value is the price at which a share of LVMH Mot trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of LVMH Mot Hennessy investors about its performance. LVMH Mot is trading at 592.50 as of the 26th of November 2024, a 1.63 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 583.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of LVMH Mot Hennessy and determine expected loss or profit from investing in LVMH Mot over a given investment horizon. Check out LVMH Mot Correlation, LVMH Mot Volatility and LVMH Mot Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on LVMH Mot.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between LVMH Mot's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LVMH Mot is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LVMH Mot's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

LVMH Mot 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to LVMH Mot's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of LVMH Mot.
0.00
08/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in LVMH Mot on August 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LVMH Mot Hennessy or generate 0.0% return on investment in LVMH Mot over 90 days. LVMH Mot is related to or competes with Kering SA, Hermes International, LOreal SA, Air Liquide, and Sanofi SA. LVMH Mot Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Socit Europenne operates as a luxury products company More

LVMH Mot Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure LVMH Mot's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LVMH Mot Hennessy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

LVMH Mot Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for LVMH Mot's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as LVMH Mot's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use LVMH Mot historical prices to predict the future LVMH Mot's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
590.24592.50594.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
430.27432.52651.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
566.61568.87571.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
565.79583.89602.00
Details

LVMH Mot Hennessy Backtested Returns

LVMH Mot Hennessy has Sharpe Ratio of -0.07, which conveys that the firm had a -0.07% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. LVMH Mot exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify LVMH Mot's mean deviation of 1.5, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.49, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, LVMH Mot's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding LVMH Mot is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, LVMH Mot Hennessy has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to verify LVMH Mot's kurtosis, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and daily balance of power , to decide if LVMH Mot Hennessy performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.53  

Good reverse predictability

LVMH Mot Hennessy has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between LVMH Mot time series from 28th of August 2024 to 12th of October 2024 and 12th of October 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LVMH Mot Hennessy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current LVMH Mot price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.53
Spearman Rank Test-0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance364.09

LVMH Mot Hennessy lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is LVMH Mot stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting LVMH Mot's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of LVMH Mot returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that LVMH Mot has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

LVMH Mot regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If LVMH Mot stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if LVMH Mot stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in LVMH Mot stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

LVMH Mot Lagged Returns

When evaluating LVMH Mot's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of LVMH Mot stock have on its future price. LVMH Mot autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, LVMH Mot autocorrelation shows the relationship between LVMH Mot stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LVMH Mot Hennessy.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in LVMH Stock

LVMH Mot financial ratios help investors to determine whether LVMH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LVMH with respect to the benefits of owning LVMH Mot security.