Mainstay Vertible Fund Market Value

MCINX Fund  USD 20.05  0.03  0.15%   
Mainstay Convertible's market value is the price at which a share of Mainstay Convertible trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mainstay Vertible Fund investors about its performance. Mainstay Convertible is trading at 20.05 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.15 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 20.08.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mainstay Vertible Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mainstay Convertible over a given investment horizon. Check out Mainstay Convertible Correlation, Mainstay Convertible Volatility and Mainstay Convertible Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mainstay Convertible.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mainstay Convertible's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mainstay Convertible is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mainstay Convertible's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mainstay Convertible 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mainstay Convertible's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mainstay Convertible.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mainstay Convertible on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mainstay Vertible Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mainstay Convertible over 30 days. Mainstay Convertible is related to or competes with Mainstay High, Mainstay Income, Mainstay, Mainstay Large, and Mainstay Map. The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80 percent of its assets in convertible securities such as bonds,... More

Mainstay Convertible Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mainstay Convertible's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mainstay Vertible Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mainstay Convertible Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mainstay Convertible's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mainstay Convertible's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mainstay Convertible historical prices to predict the future Mainstay Convertible's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6120.0520.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.4619.9020.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.6920.1320.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.3319.7420.15
Details

Mainstay Convertible Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Mainstay Mutual Fund to be very steady. Mainstay Convertible has Sharpe Ratio of 0.15, which conveys that the entity had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Mainstay Convertible, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Mainstay Convertible's Mean Deviation of 0.3314, downside deviation of 0.48, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1197 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0656%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.43, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Mainstay Convertible's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mainstay Convertible is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.96  

Excellent predictability

Mainstay Vertible Fund has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mainstay Convertible time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mainstay Convertible price movement. The serial correlation of 0.96 indicates that 96.0% of current Mainstay Convertible price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.96
Spearman Rank Test0.81
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

Mainstay Convertible lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mainstay Convertible mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mainstay Convertible's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mainstay Convertible returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mainstay Convertible has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Convertible regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mainstay Convertible mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mainstay Convertible mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mainstay Convertible mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Convertible Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mainstay Convertible's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mainstay Convertible mutual fund have on its future price. Mainstay Convertible autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mainstay Convertible autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mainstay Convertible mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mainstay Vertible Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund

Mainstay Convertible financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Convertible security.
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