Madison Servative Allocation Fund Market Value

MCNAX Fund  USD 9.86  0.03  0.31%   
Madison Servative's market value is the price at which a share of Madison Servative trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Madison Servative Allocation investors about its performance. Madison Servative is trading at 9.86 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.31% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.83.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Madison Servative Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Madison Servative over a given investment horizon. Check out Madison Servative Correlation, Madison Servative Volatility and Madison Servative Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Madison Servative.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Madison Servative's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Madison Servative is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Madison Servative's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Madison Servative 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Madison Servative's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Madison Servative.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Madison Servative on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Madison Servative Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Madison Servative over 30 days. Madison Servative is related to or competes with Fidelity Asset, Fidelity Asset, Fidelity Asset, Fidelity Asset, and Fidelity Asset. The fund invests primarily in shares of other registered investment companies More

Madison Servative Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Madison Servative's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Madison Servative Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Madison Servative Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Madison Servative's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Madison Servative's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Madison Servative historical prices to predict the future Madison Servative's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.589.8310.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.599.8410.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.539.7810.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.759.829.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Madison Servative. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Madison Servative's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Madison Servative's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Madison Servative.

Madison Servative Backtested Returns

Madison Servative has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0051, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0051% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Madison Servative exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Madison Servative's Standard Deviation of 0.2662, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 0.2076 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.2, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Madison Servative's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Madison Servative is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.58  

Modest predictability

Madison Servative Allocation has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Madison Servative time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Madison Servative price movement. The serial correlation of 0.58 indicates that roughly 58.0% of current Madison Servative price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.58
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Madison Servative lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Madison Servative mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Madison Servative's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Madison Servative returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Madison Servative has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Madison Servative regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Madison Servative mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Madison Servative mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Madison Servative mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Madison Servative Lagged Returns

When evaluating Madison Servative's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Madison Servative mutual fund have on its future price. Madison Servative autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Madison Servative autocorrelation shows the relationship between Madison Servative mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Madison Servative Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Madison Mutual Fund

Madison Servative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Madison Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Madison with respect to the benefits of owning Madison Servative security.
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