Blackrock Natural Resources Fund Market Value
| MDGRX Fund | USD 29.91 0.02 0.07% |
| Symbol | Blackrock |
Blackrock Natural 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Blackrock Natural's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Blackrock Natural.
| 10/28/2024 |
| 11/27/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Blackrock Natural on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Blackrock Natural Resources or generate 0.0% return on investment in Blackrock Natural over 30 days. Blackrock Natural is related to or competes with Materials Portfolio, and Materials Portfolio. The fund invests primarily in equity securities of companies with substantial natural resource assets More
Blackrock Natural Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Blackrock Natural's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Blackrock Natural Resources upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.66 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.93) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.74 |
Blackrock Natural Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Blackrock Natural's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Blackrock Natural's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Blackrock Natural historical prices to predict the future Blackrock Natural's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.07) |
Blackrock Natural Backtested Returns
Blackrock Natural secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0195, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0195% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Blackrock Natural Resources exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Blackrock Natural's mean deviation of 0.7539, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.51, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Blackrock Natural's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Blackrock Natural is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.50 |
Modest predictability
Blackrock Natural Resources has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Blackrock Natural time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Blackrock Natural price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Blackrock Natural price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.5 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.14 |
Blackrock Natural lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Blackrock Natural mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Blackrock Natural's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Blackrock Natural returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Blackrock Natural has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Blackrock Natural regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Blackrock Natural mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Blackrock Natural mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Blackrock Natural mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Blackrock Natural Lagged Returns
When evaluating Blackrock Natural's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Blackrock Natural mutual fund have on its future price. Blackrock Natural autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Blackrock Natural autocorrelation shows the relationship between Blackrock Natural mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Blackrock Natural Resources.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Blackrock Mutual Fund
Blackrock Natural financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackrock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackrock with respect to the benefits of owning Blackrock Natural security.
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