Mainstay Short Duration Fund Market Value

MDHAX Fund  USD 9.57  0.03  0.31%   
Mainstay Short's market value is the price at which a share of Mainstay Short trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mainstay Short Duration investors about its performance. Mainstay Short is trading at 9.57 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.31% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mainstay Short Duration and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mainstay Short over a given investment horizon. Check out Mainstay Short Correlation, Mainstay Short Volatility and Mainstay Short Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mainstay Short.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mainstay Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mainstay Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mainstay Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mainstay Short 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mainstay Short's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mainstay Short.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mainstay Short on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mainstay Short Duration or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mainstay Short over 30 days. Mainstay Short is related to or competes with Volumetric Fund, Ab Value, Rbb Fund, Abr 75/25, Aam Select, and Scharf Global. The fund, under normal circumstances, invests at least 80 percent of its assets in high-yield debt securities that are r... More

Mainstay Short Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mainstay Short's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mainstay Short Duration upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mainstay Short Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mainstay Short's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mainstay Short's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mainstay Short historical prices to predict the future Mainstay Short's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.479.579.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.708.8010.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.479.579.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.569.599.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mainstay Short. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mainstay Short's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mainstay Short's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mainstay Short Duration.

Mainstay Short Duration Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Mainstay Mutual Fund to be very steady. Mainstay Short Duration has Sharpe Ratio of 0.16, which conveys that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Mainstay Short, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Mainstay Short's Mean Deviation of 0.0741, coefficient of variation of 568.56, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0679 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0165%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0447, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mainstay Short's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mainstay Short is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Mainstay Short Duration has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mainstay Short time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mainstay Short Duration price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Mainstay Short price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Mainstay Short Duration lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mainstay Short mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mainstay Short's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mainstay Short returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mainstay Short has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Short regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mainstay Short mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mainstay Short mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mainstay Short mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Short Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mainstay Short's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mainstay Short mutual fund have on its future price. Mainstay Short autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mainstay Short autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mainstay Short mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mainstay Short Duration.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund

Mainstay Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Short security.
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