Msvif Growth Port Fund Market Value

MEGIX Fund  USD 21.16  0.58  2.82%   
Msvif Growth's market value is the price at which a share of Msvif Growth trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Msvif Growth Port investors about its performance. Msvif Growth is trading at 21.16 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 2.82 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 20.58.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Msvif Growth Port and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Msvif Growth over a given investment horizon. Check out Msvif Growth Correlation, Msvif Growth Volatility and Msvif Growth Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Msvif Growth.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Msvif Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Msvif Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Msvif Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Msvif Growth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Msvif Growth's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Msvif Growth.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Msvif Growth on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Msvif Growth Port or generate 0.0% return on investment in Msvif Growth over 30 days. Msvif Growth is related to or competes with Vanguard Total, Vanguard 500, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, and Vanguard 500. Msvif Growth is entity of United States. It is traded as Fund on NMFQS exchange. More

Msvif Growth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Msvif Growth's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Msvif Growth Port upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Msvif Growth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Msvif Growth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Msvif Growth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Msvif Growth historical prices to predict the future Msvif Growth's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.5121.1622.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.4922.1423.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.0620.7022.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.8120.6021.39
Details

Msvif Growth Port Backtested Returns

Msvif Growth appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Msvif Growth Port has Sharpe Ratio of 0.37, which conveys that the entity had a 0.37% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Msvif Growth's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.6% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Msvif Growth's Downside Deviation of 1.05, risk adjusted performance of 0.2913, and Mean Deviation of 1.25 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.25, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Msvif Growth will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

Msvif Growth Port has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Msvif Growth time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Msvif Growth Port price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Msvif Growth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

Msvif Growth Port lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Msvif Growth mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Msvif Growth's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Msvif Growth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Msvif Growth has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Msvif Growth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Msvif Growth mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Msvif Growth mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Msvif Growth mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Msvif Growth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Msvif Growth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Msvif Growth mutual fund have on its future price. Msvif Growth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Msvif Growth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Msvif Growth mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Msvif Growth Port.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Msvif Mutual Fund

Msvif Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Msvif Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Msvif with respect to the benefits of owning Msvif Growth security.
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