Metalyst Forgings (India) Market Value

METALFORGE   4.05  0.00  0.00%   
Metalyst Forgings' market value is the price at which a share of Metalyst Forgings trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Metalyst Forgings Limited investors about its performance. Metalyst Forgings is selling at 4.05 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 4.05.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Metalyst Forgings Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Metalyst Forgings over a given investment horizon. Check out Metalyst Forgings Correlation, Metalyst Forgings Volatility and Metalyst Forgings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Metalyst Forgings.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Metalyst Forgings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Metalyst Forgings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Metalyst Forgings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Metalyst Forgings 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Metalyst Forgings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Metalyst Forgings.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Metalyst Forgings on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Metalyst Forgings Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Metalyst Forgings over 30 days. Metalyst Forgings is related to or competes with Reliance Industries, Tata Consultancy, HDFC Bank, and Bharti Airtel. Metalyst Forgings is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Metalyst Forgings Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Metalyst Forgings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Metalyst Forgings Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Metalyst Forgings Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Metalyst Forgings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Metalyst Forgings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Metalyst Forgings historical prices to predict the future Metalyst Forgings' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.054.054.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.054.054.05
Details

Metalyst Forgings Backtested Returns

We have found three technical indicators for Metalyst Forgings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and Metalyst Forgings are completely uncorrelated.

Auto-correlation

    
  1.00  

Perfect predictability

Metalyst Forgings Limited has perfect predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Metalyst Forgings time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Metalyst Forgings price movement. The serial correlation of 1.0 indicates that 100.0% of current Metalyst Forgings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient1.0
Spearman Rank Test1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Metalyst Forgings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Metalyst Forgings stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Metalyst Forgings' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Metalyst Forgings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Metalyst Forgings has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Metalyst Forgings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Metalyst Forgings stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Metalyst Forgings stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Metalyst Forgings stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Metalyst Forgings Lagged Returns

When evaluating Metalyst Forgings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Metalyst Forgings stock have on its future price. Metalyst Forgings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Metalyst Forgings autocorrelation shows the relationship between Metalyst Forgings stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Metalyst Forgings Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Metalyst Stock

Metalyst Forgings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Metalyst Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Metalyst with respect to the benefits of owning Metalyst Forgings security.