International Advantage Portfolio Fund Market Value

MFAPX Fund  USD 23.29  0.15  0.65%   
International Advantage's market value is the price at which a share of International Advantage trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of International Advantage Portfolio investors about its performance. International Advantage is trading at 23.29 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.65% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 23.14.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of International Advantage Portfolio and determine expected loss or profit from investing in International Advantage over a given investment horizon. Check out International Advantage Correlation, International Advantage Volatility and International Advantage Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on International Advantage.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between International Advantage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Advantage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Advantage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

International Advantage 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to International Advantage's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of International Advantage.
0.00
12/01/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in International Advantage on December 1, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding International Advantage Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment in International Advantage over 360 days. International Advantage is related to or competes with Global Opportunity, Morgan Stanley, Growth Portfolio, and Baron Global. The fund invests primarily in established companies on an international basis, with capitalizations within the range of ... More

International Advantage Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure International Advantage's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess International Advantage Portfolio upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

International Advantage Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for International Advantage's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as International Advantage's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use International Advantage historical prices to predict the future International Advantage's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.2523.2924.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.3323.3724.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.8122.8523.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.1023.2423.38
Details

International Advantage Backtested Returns

International Advantage holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.03, which attests that the entity had a -0.03% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. International Advantage exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out International Advantage's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Standard Deviation of 1.04 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.68, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, International Advantage's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding International Advantage is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.31  

Below average predictability

International Advantage Portfolio has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between International Advantage time series from 1st of December 2023 to 29th of May 2024 and 29th of May 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of International Advantage price movement. The serial correlation of 0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current International Advantage price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.31
Spearman Rank Test0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.5

International Advantage lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is International Advantage mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting International Advantage's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of International Advantage returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that International Advantage has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

International Advantage regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If International Advantage mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if International Advantage mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in International Advantage mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

International Advantage Lagged Returns

When evaluating International Advantage's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of International Advantage mutual fund have on its future price. International Advantage autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, International Advantage autocorrelation shows the relationship between International Advantage mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in International Advantage Portfolio.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in International Mutual Fund

International Advantage financial ratios help investors to determine whether International Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in International with respect to the benefits of owning International Advantage security.
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