Global Opportunity Portfolio Fund Market Value

MGGPX Fund  USD 36.44  0.24  0.66%   
Global Opportunity's market value is the price at which a share of Global Opportunity trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Opportunity Portfolio investors about its performance. Global Opportunity is trading at 36.44 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.66% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 36.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Opportunity Portfolio and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Opportunity over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Opportunity Correlation, Global Opportunity Volatility and Global Opportunity Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Opportunity.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Opportunity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Opportunity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Opportunity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Opportunity 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Opportunity's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Opportunity.
0.00
12/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Opportunity on December 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Opportunity Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Opportunity over 720 days. Global Opportunity is related to or competes with Morgan Stanley, Growth Portfolio, Virtus Kar, and Blackrock Science. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing primarily in established and emerging companies located ... More

Global Opportunity Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Opportunity's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Opportunity Portfolio upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Opportunity Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Opportunity's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Opportunity's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Opportunity historical prices to predict the future Global Opportunity's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.5536.4537.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.8038.5839.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.1136.0236.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.1336.3636.59
Details

Global Opportunity Backtested Returns

Global Opportunity appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Global Opportunity holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.22, which attests that the entity had a 0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Global Opportunity, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Global Opportunity's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2503, risk adjusted performance of 0.1667, and Downside Deviation of 1.03 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.77, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Global Opportunity's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Global Opportunity is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

Global Opportunity Portfolio has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Opportunity time series from 5th of December 2022 to 30th of November 2023 and 30th of November 2023 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Opportunity price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Global Opportunity price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.64
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.14

Global Opportunity lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Opportunity mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Opportunity's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Opportunity returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Opportunity has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Opportunity regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Opportunity mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Opportunity mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Opportunity mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Opportunity Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Opportunity's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Opportunity mutual fund have on its future price. Global Opportunity autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Opportunity autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Opportunity mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Opportunity Portfolio.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global Opportunity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Opportunity security.
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Risk-Return Analysis
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Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon