Mol Plc Adr Stock Market Value
| MGYOY Stock | USD 3.36 0.11 3.17% |
| Symbol | MOL |
MOL PLC 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MOL PLC's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MOL PLC.
| 10/23/2024 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in MOL PLC on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MOL PLC ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in MOL PLC over 30 days. MOL PLC is related to or competes with Galp Energa, PTT PCL, OMV AG, Eni SPA, Eni SpA, PetroChina, and Equinor ASA. MOL Magyar Olaj- s Gzipari Nyilvnosan Mukdo Rszvnytrsasg, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated oil ... More
MOL PLC Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MOL PLC's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MOL PLC ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.26) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.0 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.88) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.06 |
MOL PLC Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MOL PLC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MOL PLC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MOL PLC historical prices to predict the future MOL PLC's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.12) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.22) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.36) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.86) |
MOL PLC ADR Backtested Returns
MOL PLC ADR has Sharpe Ratio of -0.18, which conveys that the firm had a -0.18% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. MOL PLC exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify MOL PLC's risk adjusted performance of (0.12), and Mean Deviation of 0.9137 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.11, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, MOL PLC's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MOL PLC is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, MOL PLC ADR has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to verify MOL PLC's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if MOL PLC ADR performance from the past will be repeated at future time.
Auto-correlation | 0.12 |
Insignificant predictability
MOL PLC ADR has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MOL PLC time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MOL PLC ADR price movement. The serial correlation of 0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current MOL PLC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.12 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.27 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
MOL PLC ADR lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is MOL PLC pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MOL PLC's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MOL PLC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MOL PLC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
MOL PLC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MOL PLC pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MOL PLC pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MOL PLC pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
MOL PLC Lagged Returns
When evaluating MOL PLC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MOL PLC pink sheet have on its future price. MOL PLC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MOL PLC autocorrelation shows the relationship between MOL PLC pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MOL PLC ADR.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for MOL Pink Sheet Analysis
When running MOL PLC's price analysis, check to measure MOL PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MOL PLC is operating at the current time. Most of MOL PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MOL PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MOL PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MOL PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.