Micro Leasing (Thailand) Market Value

MICRO Stock  THB 1.16  0.01  0.85%   
Micro Leasing's market value is the price at which a share of Micro Leasing trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Micro Leasing Public investors about its performance. Micro Leasing is trading at 1.16 as of the 22nd of November 2024, a 0.85 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1.17.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Micro Leasing Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Micro Leasing over a given investment horizon. Check out Micro Leasing Correlation, Micro Leasing Volatility and Micro Leasing Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Micro Leasing.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Micro Leasing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Micro Leasing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Micro Leasing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Micro Leasing 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Micro Leasing's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Micro Leasing.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Micro Leasing on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Micro Leasing Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Micro Leasing over 30 days. Micro Leasing is related to or competes with Amanah Leasing, Muangthai Capital, Infraset Public, and JMT Network. Micro Leasing Public Company Limited provides hire-purchase finance for six-wheel and ten-wheel trucks in Thailand More

Micro Leasing Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Micro Leasing's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Micro Leasing Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Micro Leasing Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Micro Leasing's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Micro Leasing's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Micro Leasing historical prices to predict the future Micro Leasing's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.175.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.145.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.035.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.121.431.74
Details

Micro Leasing Public Backtested Returns

Micro Leasing Public has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0299, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0299% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Micro Leasing exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Micro Leasing's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0583, downside deviation of 3.45, and Mean Deviation of 3.51 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.58, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Micro Leasing's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Micro Leasing is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Micro Leasing Public has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to verify Micro Leasing's skewness, day median price, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and jensen alpha , to decide if Micro Leasing Public performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.79  

Good predictability

Micro Leasing Public has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Micro Leasing time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Micro Leasing Public price movement. The serial correlation of 0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Micro Leasing price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.79
Spearman Rank Test0.63
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Micro Leasing Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Micro Leasing stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Micro Leasing's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Micro Leasing returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Micro Leasing has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Micro Leasing regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Micro Leasing stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Micro Leasing stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Micro Leasing stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Micro Leasing Lagged Returns

When evaluating Micro Leasing's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Micro Leasing stock have on its future price. Micro Leasing autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Micro Leasing autocorrelation shows the relationship between Micro Leasing stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Micro Leasing Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Micro Stock

Micro Leasing financial ratios help investors to determine whether Micro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Micro with respect to the benefits of owning Micro Leasing security.