Mainstay Income Builder Fund Market Value

MKTRX Fund  USD 21.27  0.17  0.81%   
Mainstay Income's market value is the price at which a share of Mainstay Income trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mainstay Income Builder investors about its performance. Mainstay Income is trading at 21.27 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.81 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 21.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mainstay Income Builder and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mainstay Income over a given investment horizon. Check out Mainstay Income Correlation, Mainstay Income Volatility and Mainstay Income Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mainstay Income.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Mainstay Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mainstay Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mainstay Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mainstay Income 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mainstay Income's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mainstay Income.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mainstay Income on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mainstay Income Builder or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mainstay Income over 30 days. Mainstay Income is related to or competes with Artisan Small, Small Pany, Tax-managed, Us Small, Ab Small, and Ancora/thelen Small-mid. The fund normally invests a minimum of 30 percent of its net assets in equity securities and a minimum of 30 percent of ... More

Mainstay Income Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mainstay Income's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mainstay Income Builder upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mainstay Income Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mainstay Income's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mainstay Income's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mainstay Income historical prices to predict the future Mainstay Income's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.7921.2721.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.7221.2021.68
Details

Mainstay Income Builder Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Mainstay Mutual Fund to be very steady. Mainstay Income Builder has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0575, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0575% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Mainstay Income, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Mainstay Income's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0329, mean deviation of 0.3731, and Downside Deviation of 0.493 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0275%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0234, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mainstay Income's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mainstay Income is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.91  

Excellent predictability

Mainstay Income Builder has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mainstay Income time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mainstay Income Builder price movement. The serial correlation of 0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Mainstay Income price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.91
Spearman Rank Test0.55
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Mainstay Income Builder lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mainstay Income mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mainstay Income's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mainstay Income returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mainstay Income has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Income regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mainstay Income mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mainstay Income mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mainstay Income mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Income Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mainstay Income's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mainstay Income mutual fund have on its future price. Mainstay Income autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mainstay Income autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mainstay Income mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mainstay Income Builder.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund

Mainstay Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Income security.
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