VanEck Morningstar (Australia) Market Value

MOAT Etf   132.58  1.50  1.14%   
VanEck Morningstar's market value is the price at which a share of VanEck Morningstar trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of VanEck Morningstar Wide investors about its performance. VanEck Morningstar is selling for under 132.58 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 1.14 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's last reported lowest price was 132.3.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VanEck Morningstar Wide and determine expected loss or profit from investing in VanEck Morningstar over a given investment horizon. Check out VanEck Morningstar Correlation, VanEck Morningstar Volatility and VanEck Morningstar Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VanEck Morningstar.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Morningstar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Morningstar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Morningstar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

VanEck Morningstar 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VanEck Morningstar's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VanEck Morningstar.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in VanEck Morningstar on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VanEck Morningstar Wide or generate 0.0% return on investment in VanEck Morningstar over 30 days. VanEck Morningstar is related to or competes with VanEck Vectors, VanEck FTSE, VanEck Vectors, VanEck Vectors. VanEck Morningstar is entity of Australia More

VanEck Morningstar Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VanEck Morningstar's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VanEck Morningstar Wide upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

VanEck Morningstar Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VanEck Morningstar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VanEck Morningstar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VanEck Morningstar historical prices to predict the future VanEck Morningstar's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
131.83132.58133.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
118.57119.32145.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
132.88133.63134.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
124.32128.44132.57
Details

VanEck Morningstar Wide Backtested Returns

Currently, VanEck Morningstar Wide is very steady. VanEck Morningstar Wide owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.19, which indicates the etf had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for VanEck Morningstar Wide, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please validate VanEck Morningstar's Semi Deviation of 0.4371, coefficient of variation of 525.79, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1451 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The entity has a beta of 0.24, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, VanEck Morningstar's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding VanEck Morningstar is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

VanEck Morningstar Wide has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VanEck Morningstar time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VanEck Morningstar Wide price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current VanEck Morningstar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.25

VanEck Morningstar Wide lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is VanEck Morningstar etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VanEck Morningstar's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VanEck Morningstar returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VanEck Morningstar has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

VanEck Morningstar regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VanEck Morningstar etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VanEck Morningstar etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VanEck Morningstar etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

VanEck Morningstar Lagged Returns

When evaluating VanEck Morningstar's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VanEck Morningstar etf have on its future price. VanEck Morningstar autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VanEck Morningstar autocorrelation shows the relationship between VanEck Morningstar etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VanEck Morningstar Wide.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  
When determining whether VanEck Morningstar Wide is a strong investment it is important to analyze VanEck Morningstar's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact VanEck Morningstar's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding VanEck Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out VanEck Morningstar Correlation, VanEck Morningstar Volatility and VanEck Morningstar Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VanEck Morningstar.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
VanEck Morningstar technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of VanEck Morningstar technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of VanEck Morningstar trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...