Mid Cap Growth Fund Market Value

MPEGX Fund  USD 22.62  0.30  1.31%   
Mid Cap's market value is the price at which a share of Mid Cap trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mid Cap Growth investors about its performance. Mid Cap is trading at 22.62 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 1.31 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 22.92.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mid Cap Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mid Cap over a given investment horizon. Check out Mid Cap Correlation, Mid Cap Volatility and Mid Cap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mid Cap.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mid Cap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mid Cap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mid Cap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mid Cap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mid Cap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mid Cap.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mid Cap on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mid Cap Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mid Cap over 30 days. Mid Cap is related to or competes with Growth Portfolio, Small Pany, Emerging Markets, and Morgan Stanley. Under normal circumstances, the adviser seeks to achieve the funds investment objective by investing primarily in establ... More

Mid Cap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mid Cap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mid Cap Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mid Cap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mid Cap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mid Cap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mid Cap historical prices to predict the future Mid Cap's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.3222.9224.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.3223.9225.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mid Cap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mid Cap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mid Cap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mid Cap Growth.

Mid Cap Growth Backtested Returns

Mid Cap appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Mid Cap Growth has Sharpe Ratio of 0.36, which conveys that the entity had a 0.36% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Mid Cap's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.58% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Mid Cap's Mean Deviation of 1.25, risk adjusted performance of 0.258, and Downside Deviation of 1.26 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.34, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Mid Cap will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.90  

Excellent predictability

Mid Cap Growth has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mid Cap time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mid Cap Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.9 indicates that approximately 90.0% of current Mid Cap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.9
Spearman Rank Test0.77
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.83

Mid Cap Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mid Cap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mid Cap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mid Cap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mid Cap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mid Cap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mid Cap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mid Cap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mid Cap mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mid Cap Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mid Cap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mid Cap mutual fund have on its future price. Mid Cap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mid Cap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mid Cap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mid Cap Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mid Mutual Fund

Mid Cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mid Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mid with respect to the benefits of owning Mid Cap security.
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