Mondrian International Value Fund Market Value

MPIEX Fund  USD 15.71  0.10  0.64%   
Mondrian International's market value is the price at which a share of Mondrian International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mondrian International Value investors about its performance. Mondrian International is trading at 15.71 as of the 4th of December 2024; that is 0.64 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 15.61.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mondrian International Value and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mondrian International over a given investment horizon. Check out Mondrian International Correlation, Mondrian International Volatility and Mondrian International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mondrian International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mondrian International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mondrian International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mondrian International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mondrian International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mondrian International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mondrian International.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mondrian International on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mondrian International Value or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mondrian International over 30 days. Mondrian International is related to or competes with William Blair, Johcm Emerging, Blackrock Advantage, Calvert International, and Oakmark International. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purposes, in equity securitie... More

Mondrian International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mondrian International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mondrian International Value upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mondrian International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mondrian International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mondrian International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mondrian International historical prices to predict the future Mondrian International's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mondrian International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9215.7116.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0515.8416.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.1615.9516.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.4615.5815.71
Details

Mondrian International Backtested Returns

Mondrian International has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0922, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0922% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mondrian International exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mondrian International's Mean Deviation of 0.6411, standard deviation of 0.7863, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.27, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mondrian International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mondrian International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.81  

Excellent reverse predictability

Mondrian International Value has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mondrian International time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mondrian International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Mondrian International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.81
Spearman Rank Test-0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Mondrian International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mondrian International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mondrian International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mondrian International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mondrian International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mondrian International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mondrian International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mondrian International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mondrian International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mondrian International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mondrian International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mondrian International mutual fund have on its future price. Mondrian International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mondrian International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mondrian International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mondrian International Value.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mondrian Mutual Fund

Mondrian International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mondrian Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mondrian with respect to the benefits of owning Mondrian International security.
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