Bny Mellon International Fund Market Value

MPITX Fund  USD 14.16  0.08  0.57%   
Bny Mellon's market value is the price at which a share of Bny Mellon trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bny Mellon International investors about its performance. Bny Mellon is trading at 14.16 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.57 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 14.08.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bny Mellon International and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bny Mellon over a given investment horizon. Check out Bny Mellon Correlation, Bny Mellon Volatility and Bny Mellon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bny Mellon.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bny Mellon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bny Mellon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bny Mellon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bny Mellon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bny Mellon's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bny Mellon.
0.00
09/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 2 months and 27 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bny Mellon on September 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bny Mellon International or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bny Mellon over 450 days. Bny Mellon is related to or competes with Versatile Bond, Blrc Sgy, Rbc Bluebay, Nebraska Municipal, T Rowe, and Artisan High. To pursue its goal, the fund normally invests at least 65 percent of its total assets in equity securities of foreign is... More

Bny Mellon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bny Mellon's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bny Mellon International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bny Mellon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bny Mellon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bny Mellon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bny Mellon historical prices to predict the future Bny Mellon's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bny Mellon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.3614.1614.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.5114.3115.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3114.1114.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.9414.1614.38
Details

Bny Mellon International Backtested Returns

Bny Mellon International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the fund had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Bny Mellon International exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bny Mellon's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10), mean deviation of 0.6537, and Standard Deviation of 0.7943 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.39, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Bny Mellon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Bny Mellon is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.17  

Very weak predictability

Bny Mellon International has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bny Mellon time series from 4th of September 2023 to 16th of April 2024 and 16th of April 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bny Mellon International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Bny Mellon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.17
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.14

Bny Mellon International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bny Mellon mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bny Mellon's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bny Mellon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bny Mellon has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bny Mellon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bny Mellon mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bny Mellon mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bny Mellon mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bny Mellon Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bny Mellon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bny Mellon mutual fund have on its future price. Bny Mellon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bny Mellon autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bny Mellon mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bny Mellon International.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in BNY Mutual Fund

Bny Mellon financial ratios help investors to determine whether BNY Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BNY with respect to the benefits of owning Bny Mellon security.
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