Litman Gregory Masters Fund Market Value

MSEFX Fund  USD 12.95  0.05  0.38%   
Litman Gregory's market value is the price at which a share of Litman Gregory trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Litman Gregory Masters investors about its performance. Litman Gregory is trading at 12.95 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 0.38 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Litman Gregory Masters and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Litman Gregory over a given investment horizon. Check out Litman Gregory Correlation, Litman Gregory Volatility and Litman Gregory Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Litman Gregory.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Litman Gregory's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Litman Gregory is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Litman Gregory's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Litman Gregory 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Litman Gregory's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Litman Gregory.
0.00
12/22/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Litman Gregory on December 22, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Litman Gregory Masters or generate 0.0% return on investment in Litman Gregory over 720 days. Litman Gregory is related to or competes with Precious Metals, Invesco Gold, Global Gold, Franklin Gold, Short Precious, Gold, and Fidelity Advisor. Under normal conditions, each sub-advisor manages a portion of the funds assets by independently managing a portfolio ty... More

Litman Gregory Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Litman Gregory's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Litman Gregory Masters upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Litman Gregory Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Litman Gregory's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Litman Gregory's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Litman Gregory historical prices to predict the future Litman Gregory's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3412.9513.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0312.6413.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.2612.8613.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.4112.7913.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Litman Gregory. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Litman Gregory's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Litman Gregory's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Litman Gregory Masters.

Litman Gregory Masters Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Litman Mutual Fund to be very steady. Litman Gregory Masters has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0735, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0735% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Litman Gregory, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Litman Gregory's Downside Deviation of 0.6072, risk adjusted performance of 0.063, and Mean Deviation of 0.4865 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0446%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.66, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Litman Gregory's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Litman Gregory is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.20  

Weak predictability

Litman Gregory Masters has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Litman Gregory time series from 22nd of December 2022 to 17th of December 2023 and 17th of December 2023 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Litman Gregory Masters price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Litman Gregory price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.2
Spearman Rank Test0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.29

Litman Gregory Masters lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Litman Gregory mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Litman Gregory's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Litman Gregory returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Litman Gregory has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Litman Gregory regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Litman Gregory mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Litman Gregory mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Litman Gregory mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Litman Gregory Lagged Returns

When evaluating Litman Gregory's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Litman Gregory mutual fund have on its future price. Litman Gregory autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Litman Gregory autocorrelation shows the relationship between Litman Gregory mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Litman Gregory Masters.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Litman Mutual Fund

Litman Gregory financial ratios help investors to determine whether Litman Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Litman with respect to the benefits of owning Litman Gregory security.
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Money Flow Index
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