Mid Cap Growth Fund Market Value

MSKLX Fund  USD 11.25  0.20  1.75%   
Mid Cap's market value is the price at which a share of Mid Cap trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mid Cap Growth investors about its performance. Mid Cap is trading at 11.25 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 1.75 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mid Cap Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mid Cap over a given investment horizon. Check out Mid Cap Correlation, Mid Cap Volatility and Mid Cap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mid Cap.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mid Cap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mid Cap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mid Cap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mid Cap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mid Cap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mid Cap.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mid Cap on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mid Cap Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mid Cap over 30 days. Mid Cap is related to or competes with Emerging Markets, Global Fixed, Global Fixed, Global Fixed, Global Core, Global Core, and Global Concentrated. Under normal circumstances, the adviser seeks to achieve the funds investment objective by investing primarily in establ... More

Mid Cap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mid Cap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mid Cap Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mid Cap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mid Cap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mid Cap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mid Cap historical prices to predict the future Mid Cap's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6411.2512.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.5210.1311.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8711.4813.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1311.3211.51
Details

Mid Cap Growth Backtested Returns

Mid Cap appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Mid Cap Growth has Sharpe Ratio of 0.3, which conveys that the entity had a 0.3% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Mid Cap's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.5% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Mid Cap's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2446, downside deviation of 1.28, and Mean Deviation of 1.27 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0185, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Mid Cap are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Mid Cap is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.81  

Very good predictability

Mid Cap Growth has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mid Cap time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mid Cap Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Mid Cap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.2

Mid Cap Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mid Cap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mid Cap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mid Cap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mid Cap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mid Cap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mid Cap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mid Cap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mid Cap mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mid Cap Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mid Cap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mid Cap mutual fund have on its future price. Mid Cap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mid Cap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mid Cap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mid Cap Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mid Mutual Fund

Mid Cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mid Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mid with respect to the benefits of owning Mid Cap security.
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