Mesirow Financial Small Fund Market Value

MSVVX Fund  USD 14.29  0.23  1.64%   
Mesirow Financial's market value is the price at which a share of Mesirow Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mesirow Financial Small investors about its performance. Mesirow Financial is trading at 14.29 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 1.64 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 14.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mesirow Financial Small and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mesirow Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out Mesirow Financial Correlation, Mesirow Financial Volatility and Mesirow Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mesirow Financial.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mesirow Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mesirow Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mesirow Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mesirow Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mesirow Financial's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mesirow Financial.
0.00
10/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mesirow Financial on October 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mesirow Financial Small or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mesirow Financial over 30 days. Mesirow Financial is related to or competes with Mesirow Financial, Mesirow Enhanced, Mesirow Financial, and Mesirow Financial. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment p... More

Mesirow Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mesirow Financial's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mesirow Financial Small upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mesirow Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mesirow Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mesirow Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mesirow Financial historical prices to predict the future Mesirow Financial's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mesirow Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.2014.2915.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0514.1415.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7213.8114.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.0014.2114.43
Details

Mesirow Financial Small Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Mesirow Mutual Fund to be very steady. Mesirow Financial Small has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0691, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0691% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Mesirow Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Mesirow Financial's Downside Deviation of 0.9796, mean deviation of 0.8212, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0764 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0752%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.28, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Mesirow Financial will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.33  

Below average predictability

Mesirow Financial Small has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mesirow Financial time series from 25th of October 2024 to 9th of November 2024 and 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mesirow Financial Small price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current Mesirow Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.33
Spearman Rank Test-0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Mesirow Financial Small lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mesirow Financial mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mesirow Financial's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mesirow Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mesirow Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mesirow Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mesirow Financial mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mesirow Financial mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mesirow Financial mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mesirow Financial Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mesirow Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mesirow Financial mutual fund have on its future price. Mesirow Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mesirow Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mesirow Financial mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mesirow Financial Small.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mesirow Mutual Fund

Mesirow Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mesirow Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mesirow with respect to the benefits of owning Mesirow Financial security.
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