Paul Mueller Co Stock Market Value
| MUEL Stock | USD 375.00 40.00 9.64% |
| Symbol | Paul |
Paul Mueller 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Paul Mueller's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Paul Mueller.
| 06/09/2024 |
| 12/31/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Paul Mueller on June 9, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Paul Mueller Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Paul Mueller over 570 days. Paul Mueller is related to or competes with NORMA Group, DAmico International, Grindrod, BTS Group, Hardwoods Distribution, Shenzhen Investment, and Siem Industries. Paul Mueller Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides manufactured equipment and components in North America, A... More
Paul Mueller Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Paul Mueller's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Paul Mueller Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 30.03 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.04 |
Paul Mueller Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Paul Mueller's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Paul Mueller's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Paul Mueller historical prices to predict the future Paul Mueller's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.51) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3682 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Paul Mueller's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Paul Mueller Backtested Returns
Paul Mueller maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0512, which implies the firm had a -0.0512 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Paul Mueller exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Paul Mueller's Variance of 13.41, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,954) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.54, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Paul Mueller are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Paul Mueller is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Paul Mueller has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to check Paul Mueller's value at risk, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and price action indicator , to decide if Paul Mueller performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.81 |
Very good predictability
Paul Mueller Co has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Paul Mueller time series from 9th of June 2024 to 21st of March 2025 and 21st of March 2025 to 31st of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Paul Mueller price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Paul Mueller price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.81 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.71 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2499.17 |
Paul Mueller lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Paul Mueller pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Paul Mueller's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Paul Mueller returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Paul Mueller has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Paul Mueller regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Paul Mueller pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Paul Mueller pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Paul Mueller pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Paul Mueller Lagged Returns
When evaluating Paul Mueller's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Paul Mueller pink sheet have on its future price. Paul Mueller autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Paul Mueller autocorrelation shows the relationship between Paul Mueller pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Paul Mueller Co.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Paul Mueller financial ratios help investors to determine whether Paul Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Paul with respect to the benefits of owning Paul Mueller security.