Blackrock Muni Intermediate Fund Market Value
| MUI Fund | USD 12.53 0.06 0.48% |
| Symbol | Blackrock |
Blackrock Muni 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Blackrock Muni's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Blackrock Muni.
| 10/23/2024 |
| 11/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Blackrock Muni on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Blackrock Muni Intermediate or generate 0.0% return on investment in Blackrock Muni over 30 days. Blackrock Muni is related to or competes with MFS Investment, Eaton Vance, Blackrock Muniholdings, Blackrock Muniyield, Munivest Fund, DTF Tax, and Blackrock Muniholdings. BlackRock Muni Intermediate Duration Fund, Inc More
Blackrock Muni Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Blackrock Muni's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Blackrock Muni Intermediate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.662 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.16) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.727 |
Blackrock Muni Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Blackrock Muni's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Blackrock Muni's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Blackrock Muni historical prices to predict the future Blackrock Muni's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0331 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0148 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.78 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackrock Muni's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blackrock Muni Inter Backtested Returns
Blackrock Muni is very steady at the moment. Blackrock Muni Inter secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0384, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0384% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Blackrock Muni Intermediate, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Blackrock Muni's risk adjusted performance of 0.0331, and Mean Deviation of 0.2935 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0202%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0088, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Blackrock Muni's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Blackrock Muni is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.33 |
Poor reverse predictability
Blackrock Muni Intermediate has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Blackrock Muni time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Blackrock Muni Inter price movement. The serial correlation of -0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current Blackrock Muni price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.33 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.64 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Blackrock Muni Inter lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Blackrock Muni fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Blackrock Muni's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Blackrock Muni returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Blackrock Muni has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Blackrock Muni regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Blackrock Muni fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Blackrock Muni fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Blackrock Muni fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Blackrock Muni Lagged Returns
When evaluating Blackrock Muni's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Blackrock Muni fund have on its future price. Blackrock Muni autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Blackrock Muni autocorrelation shows the relationship between Blackrock Muni fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Blackrock Muni Intermediate.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Blackrock Fund
Blackrock Muni financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackrock Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackrock with respect to the benefits of owning Blackrock Muni security.
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