Great West Moderately Servative Fund Market Value

MXDPX Fund  USD 8.47  0.01  0.12%   
Great-west Moderately's market value is the price at which a share of Great-west Moderately trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Great West Moderately Servative investors about its performance. Great-west Moderately is trading at 8.47 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.12 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.46.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Great West Moderately Servative and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Great-west Moderately over a given investment horizon. Check out Great-west Moderately Correlation, Great-west Moderately Volatility and Great-west Moderately Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Great-west Moderately.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Great-west Moderately's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Great-west Moderately is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great-west Moderately's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Great-west Moderately 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Great-west Moderately's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Great-west Moderately.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Great-west Moderately on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Great West Moderately Servative or generate 0.0% return on investment in Great-west Moderately over 720 days. Great-west Moderately is related to or competes with Locorr Market, Jpmorgan Emerging, Barings Emerging, Massmutual Select, Transamerica Emerging, and Shelton Emerging. The fund invests assets in funds according to the following asset allocation ranges 0 percent to 30 percent of assets in... More

Great-west Moderately Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Great-west Moderately's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Great West Moderately Servative upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Great-west Moderately Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Great-west Moderately's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Great-west Moderately's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Great-west Moderately historical prices to predict the future Great-west Moderately's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.118.478.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.008.368.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.128.488.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.288.398.50
Details

Great West Moderately Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Great-west Mutual Fund to be very steady. Great West Moderately holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0069, which attests that the entity had a 0.0069% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Great West Moderately, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Great-west Moderately's Downside Deviation of 0.4916, market risk adjusted performance of (0.77), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0025%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0096, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Great-west Moderately's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Great-west Moderately is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.01  

Very weak reverse predictability

Great West Moderately Servative has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Great-west Moderately time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Great West Moderately price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Great-west Moderately price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.01
Spearman Rank Test0.02
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Great West Moderately lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Great-west Moderately mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Great-west Moderately's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Great-west Moderately returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Great-west Moderately has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Great-west Moderately regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Great-west Moderately mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Great-west Moderately mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Great-west Moderately mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Great-west Moderately Lagged Returns

When evaluating Great-west Moderately's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Great-west Moderately mutual fund have on its future price. Great-west Moderately autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Great-west Moderately autocorrelation shows the relationship between Great-west Moderately mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Great West Moderately Servative.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Great-west Mutual Fund

Great-west Moderately financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great-west Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great-west with respect to the benefits of owning Great-west Moderately security.
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