Great West Sp Small Fund Market Value

MXERX Fund  USD 7.52  0.07  0.92%   
Great-west's market value is the price at which a share of Great-west trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Great West Sp Small investors about its performance. Great-west is trading at 7.52 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.92 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.59.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Great West Sp Small and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Great-west over a given investment horizon. Check out Great-west Correlation, Great-west Volatility and Great-west Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Great-west.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Great-west's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Great-west is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great-west's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Great-west 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Great-west's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Great-west.
0.00
09/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Great-west on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Great West Sp Small or generate 0.0% return on investment in Great-west over 90 days. Great-west is related to or competes with Calamos Dynamic, Touchstone Premium, Dreyfus/standish, Limited Term, and Multisector Bond. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in common stocks of the companies included in the benchm... More

Great-west Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Great-west's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Great West Sp Small upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Great-west Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Great-west's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Great-west's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Great-west historical prices to predict the future Great-west's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.217.528.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.758.069.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.217.528.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.767.257.75
Details

Great West Sp Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Great-west Mutual Fund to be not too volatile. Great West Sp holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.14, which attests that the entity had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Great West Sp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Great-west's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0897, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1041, and Downside Deviation of 1.13 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.49, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Great-west will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.64  

Good predictability

Great West Sp Small has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Great-west time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 18th of October 2024 and 18th of October 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Great West Sp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Great-west price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.64
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Great West Sp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Great-west mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Great-west's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Great-west returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Great-west has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Great-west regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Great-west mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Great-west mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Great-west mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Great-west Lagged Returns

When evaluating Great-west's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Great-west mutual fund have on its future price. Great-west autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Great-west autocorrelation shows the relationship between Great-west mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Great West Sp Small.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Great-west Mutual Fund

Great-west financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great-west Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great-west with respect to the benefits of owning Great-west security.
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