Great West Loomis Sayles Fund Market Value

MXLSX Fund  USD 40.99  0.68  1.69%   
Great-west Loomis' market value is the price at which a share of Great-west Loomis trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Great West Loomis Sayles investors about its performance. Great-west Loomis is trading at 40.99 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 1.69 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 40.31.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Great West Loomis Sayles and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Great-west Loomis over a given investment horizon. Check out Great-west Loomis Correlation, Great-west Loomis Volatility and Great-west Loomis Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Great-west Loomis.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Great-west Loomis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Great-west Loomis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great-west Loomis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Great-west Loomis 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Great-west Loomis' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Great-west Loomis.
0.00
12/03/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Great-west Loomis on December 3, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Great West Loomis Sayles or generate 0.0% return on investment in Great-west Loomis over 720 days. Great-west Loomis is related to or competes with Vanguard Small-cap, Vanguard Small-cap, Us Small, Us Targeted, Undiscovered Managers, Undiscovered Managers, and Undiscovered Managers. The fund will, under normal circumstances, invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of small ca... More

Great-west Loomis Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Great-west Loomis' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Great West Loomis Sayles upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Great-west Loomis Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Great-west Loomis' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Great-west Loomis' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Great-west Loomis historical prices to predict the future Great-west Loomis' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Great-west Loomis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.7340.9942.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.2540.5141.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.6539.9041.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.9439.5942.23
Details

Great West Loomis Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Great-west Mutual Fund to be very steady. Great West Loomis holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0719, which attests that the entity had a 0.0719% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Great West Loomis, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Great-west Loomis' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0788, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0881, and Downside Deviation of 0.8994 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0902%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.49, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Great-west Loomis will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.07  

Virtually no predictability

Great West Loomis Sayles has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Great-west Loomis time series from 3rd of December 2022 to 28th of November 2023 and 28th of November 2023 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Great West Loomis price movement. The serial correlation of 0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Great-west Loomis price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.07
Spearman Rank Test0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.81

Great West Loomis lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Great-west Loomis mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Great-west Loomis' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Great-west Loomis returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Great-west Loomis has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Great-west Loomis regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Great-west Loomis mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Great-west Loomis mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Great-west Loomis mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Great-west Loomis Lagged Returns

When evaluating Great-west Loomis' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Great-west Loomis mutual fund have on its future price. Great-west Loomis autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Great-west Loomis autocorrelation shows the relationship between Great-west Loomis mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Great West Loomis Sayles.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Great-west Mutual Fund

Great-west Loomis financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great-west Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great-west with respect to the benefits of owning Great-west Loomis security.
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