Great West Loomis Sayles Fund Price Prediction

MXLSX Fund  USD 40.99  0.68  1.69%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Great-west Loomis' the mutual fund price is slightly above 69. This indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Great-west, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Great-west Loomis' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Great West Loomis Sayles, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Great-west Loomis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Great West Loomis Sayles from the perspective of Great-west Loomis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Great-west Loomis to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Great-west because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Great-west Loomis after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Great-west Loomis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Great-west Loomis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.2540.5141.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.6539.9041.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.9439.5942.23
Details

Great-west Loomis After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Great-west Loomis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Great-west Loomis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Great-west Loomis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Great-west Loomis Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Great-west Loomis' mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Great-west Loomis' historical news coverage. Great-west Loomis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.73 and 42.25, respectively. We have considered Great-west Loomis' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
40.99
40.99
After-hype Price
42.25
Upside
Great-west Loomis is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Great West Loomis is based on 3 months time horizon.

Great-west Loomis Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Great-west Loomis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Great-west Loomis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Great-west Loomis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.26
  0.01 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
40.99
40.99
0.00 
900.00  
Notes

Great-west Loomis Hype Timeline

Great West Loomis is now traded for 40.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Great-west is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Great-west Loomis is about 4200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.99. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.82. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Great West Loomis last dividend was issued on the 27th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Great-west Loomis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Great-west Loomis Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Great-west Loomis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Great-west Loomis' future price movements. Getting to know how Great-west Loomis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Great-west Loomis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VSIIXVanguard Small Cap Value 0.00 0 per month 0.65  0.02  1.71 (1.32) 5.73 
VISVXVanguard Small Cap Value 0.18 1 per month 0.65  0.03  1.67 (1.35) 5.74 
DFSVXUs Small Cap 0.19 1 per month 0.82  0.03  2.27 (1.42) 8.30 
DFFVXUs Targeted Value(0.13)1 per month 0.82  0.03  2.20 (1.46) 8.01 
UBVCXUndiscovered Managers Behavioral 0.00 0 per month 0.69 (0.02) 1.54 (1.48) 7.64 
UBVAXUndiscovered Managers Behavioral 0.00 0 per month 0.69 (0.01) 1.55 (1.49) 7.63 
UBVSXUndiscovered Managers Behavioral 0.00 0 per month 0.68 (0) 1.56 (1.49) 7.62 
AVFIXAmerican Beacon Small 0.00 0 per month 0.80  0.02  2.07 (1.70) 7.34 

Great-west Loomis Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Great-west price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Great-west using various technical indicators. When you analyze Great-west charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Great-west Loomis Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Great-west Loomis stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Great West Loomis Sayles, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Great-west Loomis based on analysis of Great-west Loomis hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Great-west Loomis's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Great-west Loomis's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Great-west Loomis

The number of cover stories for Great-west Loomis depends on current market conditions and Great-west Loomis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Great-west Loomis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Great-west Loomis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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