Great West Moderate Profile Fund Market Value

MXMPX Fund  USD 6.79  0.06  0.89%   
Great-west Moderate's market value is the price at which a share of Great-west Moderate trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Great West Moderate Profile investors about its performance. Great-west Moderate is trading at 6.79 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.89 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 6.73.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Great West Moderate Profile and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Great-west Moderate over a given investment horizon. Check out Great-west Moderate Correlation, Great-west Moderate Volatility and Great-west Moderate Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Great-west Moderate.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Great-west Moderate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Great-west Moderate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great-west Moderate's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Great-west Moderate 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Great-west Moderate's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Great-west Moderate.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Great-west Moderate on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Great West Moderate Profile or generate 0.0% return on investment in Great-west Moderate over 30 days. Great-west Moderate is related to or competes with American Funds, American Funds, American Balanced, American Balanced, American Balanced, American Balanced, and American Balanced. The fund usually invests assets in underlying funds according to the following asset allocation ranges 0 percent to 30 p... More

Great-west Moderate Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Great-west Moderate's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Great West Moderate Profile upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Great-west Moderate Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Great-west Moderate's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Great-west Moderate's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Great-west Moderate historical prices to predict the future Great-west Moderate's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.286.797.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.256.767.27
Details

Great West Moderate Backtested Returns

Great West Moderate holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.002, which attests that the entity had a -0.002% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Great West Moderate exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Great-west Moderate's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Standard Deviation of 0.505 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.4, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Great-west Moderate's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Great-west Moderate is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.79  

Good predictability

Great West Moderate Profile has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Great-west Moderate time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Great West Moderate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Great-west Moderate price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.79
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Great West Moderate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Great-west Moderate mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Great-west Moderate's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Great-west Moderate returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Great-west Moderate has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Great-west Moderate regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Great-west Moderate mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Great-west Moderate mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Great-west Moderate mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Great-west Moderate Lagged Returns

When evaluating Great-west Moderate's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Great-west Moderate mutual fund have on its future price. Great-west Moderate autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Great-west Moderate autocorrelation shows the relationship between Great-west Moderate mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Great West Moderate Profile.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Great-west Mutual Fund

Great-west Moderate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great-west Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great-west with respect to the benefits of owning Great-west Moderate security.
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